The Most Important Games for the VCU Rams are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rams final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. VCU Rams fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
VCU Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | |||
| VCU (16‑5) vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (10‑11) |
13 | VCU Wins | 54% | 27% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins | 40% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMass (12‑8) vs Duquesne (14‑7) |
2 | UMass Wins | 53% | 26% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duquesne Wins | 51% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fordham (16‑4) vs Geo. Washington (11‑8) |
1 | Fordham Wins | 52% | 26% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Geo. Washington Wins | 52% | 26% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Richmond (11‑10) vs Dayton (13‑8) |
0 | Richmond Wins | 51% | 27% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dayton Wins | 51% | 26% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Joseph's (9‑11) vs George Mason (12‑9) |
0 | St. Joseph's Wins | 52% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| George Mason Wins | 51% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rhode Island (7‑13) vs La Salle (8‑12) |
0 | Rhode Island Wins | 51% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 26% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| La Salle Wins | 51% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||