The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Mercyhurst (3‑21‑2) vs Sacred Heart (13‑10‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 26% | 62% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | |||
| RIT (15‑11‑2) vs Army (10‑12‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | RIT Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 85% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |||
| Army Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 89% | |||
| Air Force (13‑11‑2) vs Niagara (8‑16‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 83% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | |||
| Canisius (14‑10‑2) vs Robert Morris (7‑16‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |||
| Bentley (14‑7‑5) vs Holy Cross (12‑12‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercyhurst (3‑21‑2) vs Sacred Heart (13‑10‑3) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 89% | ||
| RIT (15‑11‑2) vs Army (10‑12‑5) |
0 | RIT Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | ||
| Army Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 88% | ||
| Air Force (13‑11‑2) vs Niagara (8‑16‑1) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% | ||
| Robert Morris (7‑16‑3) vs Canisius (14‑10‑2) |
0 | Robert Morris Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | ||
| Bentley (14‑7‑5) vs Holy Cross (12‑12‑2) |
0 | Bentley Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% | ||