The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | ||||
| Mercyhurst (4‑23‑3) vs Niagara (10‑19‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 12% | 85% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% | |||
| Air Force (15‑12‑3) vs Army (11‑14‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 7% | 90% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Army Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 7% | 93% | |||
| Canisius (15‑13‑2) vs Robert Morris (10‑17‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| RIT (17‑12‑2) vs Bentley (17‑9‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | RIT Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Sacred Heart (15‑12‑3) vs Holy Cross (14‑14‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | |||
| Mercyhurst (4‑23‑3) vs Niagara (10‑19‑1) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 12% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% | ||
| Air Force (15‑12‑3) vs Army (11‑14‑5) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Army Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Canisius (15‑13‑2) vs Robert Morris (10‑17‑3) |
0 | Canisius Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| RIT (17‑12‑2) vs Bentley (17‑9‑5) |
0 | RIT Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Bentley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Sacred Heart (15‑12‑3) vs Holy Cross (14‑14‑2) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 7% | 92% | ||