The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (12‑2‑1) vs Minnesota (15‑2‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
38 | Michigan State Sweeps 1 Game | 46% | 33% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 1 Game | 26% | 42% | 22% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (6‑11) vs Ohio State (12‑4‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Notre Dame Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 38% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑9‑1) vs Michigan (10‑6‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Wisconsin Sweeps 1 Game | 37% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Michigan State (12‑2‑1) vs Minnesota (15‑2‑2) |
38 | Michigan State Wins | 46% | 33% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 26% | 42% | 22% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (6‑11) vs Ohio State (12‑4‑1) |
3 | Notre Dame Wins | 37% | 38% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑9‑1) vs Michigan (10‑6‑1) |
2 | Wisconsin Wins | 37% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 36% | 36% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||