The Most Important Games for the Michigan State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Ohio State (2‑4) vs Michigan (7‑0) 2 Games Remaining |
9 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | 24% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 19% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑4) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | 20% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Penn State (2‑4) vs Minnesota (2‑3‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | 20% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Ohio State (2‑4) vs Michigan (7‑0) |
5 | Ohio State Wins | 22% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 19% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑4) vs Wisconsin (4‑0) |
1 | Notre Dame Wins | 21% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 20% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Penn State (2‑4) vs Minnesota (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Penn State Wins | 20% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 20% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||