The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (6‑10) vs Ohio State (11‑4‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 33% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% | ||
| Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 34% | 46% | ||
| Michigan (10‑5‑1) vs Wisconsin (6‑9‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 21% | 32% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% | ||
| Wisconsin Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 38% | 44% | ||
| Minnesota (15‑2‑1) vs Michigan State (12‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 32% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 42% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Notre Dame (6‑10) vs Ohio State (11‑4‑1) |
3 | Notre Dame Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 34% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% | ||
| Ohio State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 34% | 44% | ||
| Michigan (10‑5‑1) vs Wisconsin (6‑9‑1) |
1 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 32% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 35% | 43% | ||
| Michigan State (12‑2) vs Minnesota (15‑2‑1) |
0 | Michigan State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 41% | ||