Where are the Notre Dame Fighting Irish going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Notre Dame standings table presents the probabilities of the Fighting Irish winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 |
| Minnesota | 7i Minnesota Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Michigan 6-0 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Michigan 2-0 Lost Fri, Dec 13 vs Michigan State 3-3 Lost Sat, Dec 14 vs Michigan State 3-5 Fri, Jan 03 vs Mercy. Sat, Jan 04 vs Mercy. |
1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 31% | 39% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan State | 5 Michigan State Recent Games Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Wisconsin 0-4 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Wisconsin 3-2 Won Fri, Dec 13 @ Minnesota 3-3 Won Sat, Dec 14 @ Minnesota 5-3 Sun, Dec 29 vs Northern Michigan |
2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 54% | 29% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 4 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Michigan State 4-0 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs Michigan State 2-3 Won Fri, Dec 13 @ Michigan 4-0 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ Michigan 2-3 Sat, Dec 28 vs Ferris State |
1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 53% | 17% | 2% |
| Ohio State | 4 Ohio State Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 05 vs Penn State 4-0 Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Penn State 4-2 Won Fri, Dec 13 vs N.Dame 2-1 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs N.Dame 3-1 Fri, Jan 03 @ Michigan Sun, Jan 05 @ Michigan |
2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 9% | 18% | 32% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| Michigan | 3 Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Minnesota 0-6 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Minnesota 0-2 Lost Fri, Dec 13 vs Wisconsin 0-4 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs Wisconsin 3-2 Fri, Jan 03 vs Ohio State Sun, Jan 05 vs Ohio State |
2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6% | 13% | 28% | 35% | 16% | 2% | <1% |
| Notre Dame | 0 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Boston University 3-4 Lost Fri, Dec 13 @ Ohio State 1-2 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ Ohio State 1-3 Fri, Jan 03 vs Penn State Sun, Jan 05 vs Penn State |
1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 38% | 51% |
| Penn State | 0 Penn State Recent Games Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ Ohio State 0-4 Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Ohio State 2-4 Won Thu, Dec 12 @ Army 1-1 Won Thu, Dec 12 @ Army 4-1 Fri, Jan 03 @ N.Dame Sun, Jan 05 @ N.Dame |
0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 42% | 47% |
| Record | Total | Home (1%) |
Away (99%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | <1% | |||||||
| (1)Minnesota | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 28% | <1% | 28% |
| (4)Ohio State | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 25% | <1% | 25% |
| (5)Michigan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 22% | 1% | 22% |
| (2)Michigan State | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20% | <1% | 20% |
| (3)Wisconsin | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 4% | 1% | 4% |
| (7)Penn State | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisconsin (7‑10‑1) |
3‑2 (OT) | Home | Fri Nov 1, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Wisconsin (7‑10‑1) |
1‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Michigan (11‑6‑1) |
1‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Michigan (11‑6‑1) |
2‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 9, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (13‑2‑1) |
3‑8 | Away | Fri Nov 15, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan State (13‑2‑1) |
3‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Minnesota (15‑3‑2) |
3‑6 | Home | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Minnesota (15‑3‑2) |
3‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 6:00 pm |
| 11 | Ohio State (13‑4‑1) |
1‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Dec 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Ohio State (13‑4‑1) |
1‑3 | Away | Sat Dec 14, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Penn State (8‑9) |
Home | Fri Jan 3, 8:30 pm | |
| 14 | Penn State (8‑9) |
Home | Sun Jan 5, 5:00 pm | |
| 15 | Michigan (11‑6‑1) |
Home | Fri Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Michigan (11‑6‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Minnesota (15‑3‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 17, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Minnesota (15‑3‑2) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:00 pm | |
| 19 | Ohio State (13‑4‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Ohio State (13‑4‑1) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 20 | Penn State (8‑9) |
Away | Fri Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Penn State (8‑9) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 5:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wisconsin (7‑10‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 8:30 pm | |
| 21 | Wisconsin (7‑10‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:30 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan State (13‑2‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan State (13‑2‑1) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 6:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St. Lawrence (5‑11‑1) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Away | Fri Oct 11, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Clarkson (11‑5‑2) |
ECACECAC | 5‑2 | Away | Sat Oct 12, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Alaska (5‑8‑3) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 18, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Alaska (5‑8‑3) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 0‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 19, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (8‑6‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (8‑6‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Harvard (3‑5‑2) |
ECACECAC | 5‑2 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Boston University (9‑6‑1) |
EastEast | 3‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | Lindenwood (4‑12‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Fri Jan 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Lindenwood (4‑12‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Sat Jan 25, 6:00 pm |