The Most Important Games for the Ohio State Buckeyes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Buckeyes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ohio State Buckeyes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Ohio State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Ohio State (6‑10) vs Michigan State (12‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Ohio State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 28% | 50% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 54% | 20% | ||
| Michigan State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 57% | 23% | ||
| Michigan (16‑4) vs Notre Dame (4‑11‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 55% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 54% | 20% | ||
| Notre Dame Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 41% | 35% | ||
| Penn State (11‑5) vs Minnesota (8‑10‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Penn State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 22% | 52% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 54% | 20% | ||
| Minnesota Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 61% | 21% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ohio State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Ohio State (6‑10) vs Michigan State (12‑4) |
2 | Ohio State Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 52% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 54% | 20% | ||
| Michigan State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 19% | 56% | 22% | ||
| Penn State (11‑5) vs Minnesota (8‑10‑1) |
0 | Penn State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 21% | 52% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 54% | 20% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 58% | 21% | ||
| Michigan (16‑4) vs Notre Dame (4‑11‑1) |
0 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 54% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 54% | 20% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 48% | 26% | ||