PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Jan 27 10:15 pm

Big 10 Hockey - Week 18 of 22

Ohio State What If?

The Ohio State Buckeyes What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Ohio State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ohio State What If?

Next Game - Penn State (18‑8‑1)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 10 0 0 7 30 2% 43% 25% 16% 10% 4% <1%
Current Standings 9 0 0 7 27 1% 32% 23% 20% 16% 8% <1%
Lose Next Game 9 1 0 7 27 <1% 20% 22% 25% 21% 12% <1%


Current Series - Penn State (18‑8‑1) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Ohio State Sweeps 11 0 0 7 33 2% 56% 26% 10% 5% 1% <1%
Current Standings 9 0 0 7 27 1% 32% 23% 20% 16% 8% <1%
Penn State Sweeps 9 2 0 7 27 <1% 6% 21% 29% 27% 16% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 1% 32% 24% 21% 15% 6% <1%
Current Standings 1% 32% 23% 20% 16% 8% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 32% 22% 19% 17% 9% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Wisconsin beats Notre Dame
Worst Case Scenario
   Notre Dame beats Wisconsin
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
8 of 8 100% 17 0 0 7 51 54% 46% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 16 1 0 7 48 18% 82% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 15 2 0 7 45 3% 95% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 8 63% 14 3 0 7 42 <1% 78% 21% <1% <1% ^ ^
4 of 8 50% 13 4 0 7 39 X 29% 55% 15% <1% <1% ^
3 of 8 38% 12 5 0 7 36 X 2% 25% 55% 18% <1% ^
2 of 8 25% 11 6 0 7 33 X <1% 1% 23% 60% 16% <1%
1 of 8 13% 10 7 0 7 30 X X <1% 1% 37% 61% <1%
0 of 8 0% 9 8 0 7 27 X X X X 10% 89% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye home field advantage in the post season conference tournament