The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Illinois (3‑0) vs Nebraska (3‑0) |
10 | Illinois Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Michigan (2‑1) vs USC (2‑0) |
1 | Michigan Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| USC Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Iowa (2‑1) vs Minnesota (2‑1) |
0 | Iowa Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Washington (2‑1) vs NorthwesternN. Western (2‑1) |
0 | Washington Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | ||