The Most Important Games for the Illinois Fighting Illini are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Illini final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Illinois Fighting Illini fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Illinois Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Penn St. (3‑4) vs Ohio St. (7‑0) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (4‑3) vs Indiana (8‑0) |
0 | Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑5) vs Minnesota (5‑3) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC (5‑2) vs Nebraska (6‑2) |
0 | USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois (5‑3) vs Rutgers (4‑4) |
0 | Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan (6‑2) vs Purdue (2‑6) |
0 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||