Are the Illinois Fighting Illini going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Illinois standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Ohio St. | 4i Ohio St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Wash. 24-6 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Minnesota 42-3 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Illinois 34-16 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Wisconsin 34-0 Sat, Nov 01 vs Penn St. Sat, Nov 08 @ Purdue Sat, Nov 15 vs UCLA Sat, Nov 22 vs Rutgers |
0 | 4 | 40% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Indiana | 4 Indiana Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Illinois 63-10 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Iowa 20-15 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Oregon 30-20 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Michigan St. 38-13 Sat, Oct 25 vs UCLA Sat, Nov 01 @ Maryland Sat, Nov 08 @ Penn St. Sat, Nov 15 vs Wisconsin |
0 | 4 | 49% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan | 3 Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Nebraska 30-27 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Wisconsin 24-10 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ USC 13-31 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Wash. 24-7 Sat, Oct 25 @ Michigan St. Sat, Nov 01 vs Purdue Sat, Nov 15 @ N. Western Sat, Nov 22 @ Maryland |
1 | 4 | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Oregon | 3 Oregon Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Oregon St. 41-7 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Penn St. 30-24 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Indiana 20-30 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Rutgers 56-10 Sat, Oct 25 vs Wisconsin Sat, Nov 08 @ Iowa Fri, Nov 14 vs Minnesota Sat, Nov 22 vs USC |
1 | 4 | 2% | 6% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 3 Minnesota Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Rutgers 31-28 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Ohio St. 3-42 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Purdue 27-20 Won Fri, Oct 17 vs Nebraska 24-6 Sat, Oct 25 @ Iowa Sat, Nov 01 vs Michigan St. Fri, Nov 14 @ Oregon Sat, Nov 22 @ N. Western |
1 | 4 | 1% | 5% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| USC | 3 USC Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Michigan St. 45-31 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Illinois 32-34 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Michigan 31-13 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Notre Dame 24-34 Sat, Nov 01 @ Nebraska Fri, Nov 07 vs N. Western Sat, Nov 15 vs Iowa Sat, Nov 22 @ Oregon |
1 | 4 | 1% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Iowa | 3 Iowa Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 19 @ Rutgers 38-28 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Indiana 15-20 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Wisconsin 37-0 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Penn St. 25-24 Sat, Oct 25 vs Minnesota Sat, Nov 08 vs Oregon Sat, Nov 15 @ USC Sat, Nov 22 vs Michigan St. |
1 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 3 Northwestern Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs UCLA 17-14 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs LA Monroe 42-7 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Penn St. 22-21 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Purdue 19-0 Sat, Oct 25 @ Nebraska Fri, Nov 07 @ USC Sat, Nov 15 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 22 vs Minnesota |
1 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCLA | 3 UCLA Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ N. Western 14-17 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Penn St. 42-37 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Michigan St. 38-13 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Maryland 20-17 Sat, Oct 25 @ Indiana Sat, Nov 08 vs Nebraska Sat, Nov 15 @ Ohio St. Sat, Nov 22 vs Wash. |
1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Washington | 2 Washington Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Ohio St. 6-24 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Maryland 24-20 Won Fri, Oct 10 vs Rutgers 38-19 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Michigan 7-24 Sat, Oct 25 vs Illinois Sat, Nov 08 @ Wisconsin Sat, Nov 15 vs Purdue Sat, Nov 22 @ UCLA |
2 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Illinois | 2 Illinois Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Indiana 10-63 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs USC 34-32 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Purdue 43-27 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Ohio St. 16-34 Sat, Oct 25 @ Wash. Sat, Nov 01 vs Rutgers Sat, Nov 15 vs Maryland Sat, Nov 22 @ Wisconsin |
2 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Nebraska | 2 Nebraska Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Michigan 27-30 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Michigan St. 38-27 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Maryland 34-31 Lost Fri, Oct 17 @ Minnesota 6-24 Sat, Oct 25 vs N. Western Sat, Nov 01 vs USC Sat, Nov 08 @ UCLA Sat, Nov 22 @ Penn St. |
2 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland | 1 Maryland Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Wisconsin 27-10 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Wash. 20-24 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Nebraska 31-34 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ UCLA 17-20 Sat, Nov 01 vs Indiana Sat, Nov 08 @ Rutgers Sat, Nov 15 @ Illinois Sat, Nov 22 vs Michigan |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 4% |
| Michigan St. | 0 Michigan St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ USC 31-45 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Nebraska 27-38 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs UCLA 13-38 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Indiana 13-38 Sat, Oct 25 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 01 @ Minnesota Sat, Nov 15 vs Penn St. Sat, Nov 22 @ Iowa |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% |
| Rutgers | 0 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 19 vs Iowa 28-38 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Minnesota 28-31 Lost Fri, Oct 10 @ Wash. 19-38 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Oregon 10-56 Sat, Oct 25 @ Purdue Sat, Nov 01 @ Illinois Sat, Nov 08 vs Maryland Sat, Nov 22 @ Ohio St. |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 13% |
| Penn St. | 0 Penn St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Oregon 24-30 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ UCLA 37-42 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs N. Western 21-22 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Iowa 24-25 Sat, Nov 01 @ Ohio St. Sat, Nov 08 vs Indiana Sat, Nov 15 @ Michigan St. Sat, Nov 22 vs Nebraska |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 21% |
| Purdue | 0 Purdue Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Notre Dame 30-56 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Illinois 27-43 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Minnesota 20-27 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ N. Western 0-19 Sat, Oct 25 vs Rutgers Sat, Nov 01 @ Michigan Sat, Nov 08 vs Ohio St. Sat, Nov 15 @ Wash. |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 24% |
| Wisconsin | 0 Wisconsin Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Maryland 10-27 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Michigan 10-24 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Iowa 0-37 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Ohio St. 0-34 Sat, Oct 25 @ Oregon Sat, Nov 08 vs Wash. Sat, Nov 15 @ Indiana Sat, Nov 22 vs Illinois |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 27% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Indiana | 4 | 0 | 1% |
| (1)Ohio St. | 4 | 0 | <1% |
| (5)Minnesota | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Michigan | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)USC | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (7)Iowa | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (4)Oregon | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (8)NorthwesternN. Western | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (9)UCLA | 3 | 1 | <1% |
| (12)Nebraska | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (10)Washington | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (13)Maryland | 1 | 3 | X |
| (14)Michigan St. | 0 | 4 | X |
| (15)Rutgers | 0 | 4 | X |
| (16)Penn St. | 0 | 4 | X |
| (17)Purdue | 0 | 4 | X |
| (18)Wisconsin | 0 | 4 | X |
| Elimination | 99% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Indiana (7‑0) |
10‑63 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 7:30 pm |
| 5 | USC (5‑2) |
34‑32 | Home | Sat Sep 27, 12:00 pm |
| 6 | Purdue (2‑5) |
43‑27 | Away | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Ohio St. (7‑0) |
16‑34 | Home | Sat Oct 11, 12:00 pm |
| 9 | Washington (5‑2) |
Away | Sat Oct 25, TBD | |
| 10 | Rutgers (3‑4) |
Home | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 12 | Maryland (4‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, TBD | |
| 13 | Wisconsin (2‑5) |
Away | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | NorthwesternN. Western (5‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Illinois | ‑‑ | 52‑3 | Home | Fri Aug 29, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Duke (4‑3) |
ACCACC | 45‑19 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Western Michigan (4‑3) |
MACMAC | 38‑0 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 7:00 pm |