The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan (5‑2) vs Michigan St. (3‑4) |
13 | Michigan Wins | 5% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (2‑5) vs Oregon (6‑1) |
2 | Wisconsin Wins | 4% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA (3‑4) vs Indiana (7‑0) |
1 | UCLA Wins | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 3% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa (5‑2) vs Minnesota (5‑2) |
1 | Iowa Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois (5‑2) vs Washington (5‑2) |
1 | Illinois Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | 4% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (3‑4) vs Purdue (2‑5) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska (5‑2) vs NorthwesternN. Western (5‑2) |
0 | Nebraska Wins | 4% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||