Are the Michigan Wolverines going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Michigan playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Wolverines will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
Oregon | 7i Oregon Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 18 @ Purdue 35-0 Won Sat, Oct 26 vs Illinois 38-9 Won Sat, Nov 02 @ Michigan 38-17 Won Sat, Nov 09 vs Maryland 39-18 Sat, Nov 16 @ Wisconsin Sat, Nov 30 vs Wash. |
0 | 7 | 67% | 27% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Indiana | 7 Indiana Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 19 vs Nebraska 56-7 Won Sat, Oct 26 vs Wash. 31-17 Won Sat, Nov 02 @ Michigan St. 47-10 Won Sat, Nov 09 vs Michigan 20-15 Sat, Nov 23 @ Ohio St. Sat, Nov 30 vs Purdue |
0 | 7 | 31% | 28% | 30% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Ohio St. | 5 Ohio St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 12 @ Oregon 31-32 Won Sat, Oct 26 vs Nebraska 21-17 Won Sat, Nov 02 @ Penn St. 20-13 Won Sat, Nov 09 vs Purdue 45-0 Sat, Nov 16 @ N. Western Sat, Nov 23 vs Indiana Sat, Nov 30 vs Michigan |
1 | 6 | 1% | 35% | 21% | 37% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Penn St. | 5 Penn St. Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 12 @ USC 33-30 Won Sat, Oct 26 @ Wisconsin 28-13 Lost Sat, Nov 02 vs Ohio St. 13-20 Won Sat, Nov 09 vs Wash. 35-6 Sat, Nov 16 @ Purdue Sat, Nov 23 @ Minnesota Sat, Nov 30 vs Maryland |
1 | 6 | 1% | 10% | 43% | 41% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Iowa | 4 Iowa Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 19 @ Michigan St. 20-32 Won Sat, Oct 26 vs N. Western 40-14 Won Sat, Nov 02 vs Wisconsin 42-10 Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ UCLA 17-20 Sat, Nov 23 @ Maryland Fri, Nov 29 vs Nebraska |
3 | 7 | X | X | <1% | 3% | 36% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Minnesota | 4 Minnesota Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 12 @ UCLA 21-17 Won Sat, Oct 26 vs Maryland 48-23 Won Sat, Nov 02 @ Illinois 25-17 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Rutgers 19-26 Sat, Nov 23 vs Penn St. Fri, Nov 29 @ Wisconsin |
3 | 7 | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Illinois | 3 Illinois Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 12 vs Purdue 50-49 Won Sat, Oct 19 vs Michigan 21-7 Lost Sat, Oct 26 @ Oregon 9-38 Lost Sat, Nov 02 vs Minnesota 17-25 Sat, Nov 16 vs Michigan St. Sat, Nov 23 @ Rutgers Sat, Nov 30 @ N. Western |
3 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Wisconsin | 3 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 12 @ Rutgers 42-7 Won Sat, Oct 19 @ N. Western 23-3 Lost Sat, Oct 26 vs Penn St. 13-28 Lost Sat, Nov 02 @ Iowa 10-42 Sat, Nov 16 vs Oregon Sat, Nov 23 @ Nebraska Fri, Nov 29 vs Minnesota |
3 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Washington | 3 Washington Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 12 @ Iowa 16-40 Lost Sat, Oct 26 @ Indiana 17-31 Won Sat, Nov 02 vs USC 26-21 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Penn St. 6-35 Fri, Nov 15 vs UCLA Sat, Nov 30 @ Oregon |
4 | 7 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
UCLA | 3 UCLA Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 12 vs Minnesota 17-21 Won Sat, Oct 19 @ Rutgers 35-32 Won Sat, Nov 02 @ Nebraska 27-20 Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Iowa 20-17 Fri, Nov 15 @ Wash. Sat, Nov 23 vs USC Sat, Nov 30 vs Fresno State |
4 | 7 | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Michigan | 3 Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 19 @ Illinois 7-21 Won Sat, Oct 26 vs Michigan St. 24-17 Lost Sat, Nov 02 vs Oregon 17-38 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Indiana 15-20 Sat, Nov 23 vs N. Western Sat, Nov 30 @ Ohio St. |
4 | 7 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Michigan St. | 2 Michigan St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 04 @ Oregon 10-31 Won Sat, Oct 19 vs Iowa 32-20 Lost Sat, Oct 26 @ Michigan 17-24 Lost Sat, Nov 02 vs Indiana 10-47 Sat, Nov 16 @ Illinois Fri, Nov 22 vs Purdue Sat, Nov 30 vs Rutgers |
4 | 6 | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
Nebraska | 2 Nebraska Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 05 vs Rutgers 14-7 Lost Sat, Oct 19 @ Indiana 7-56 Lost Sat, Oct 26 @ Ohio St. 17-21 Lost Sat, Nov 02 vs UCLA 20-27 Sat, Nov 16 @ USC Sat, Nov 23 vs Wisconsin Fri, Nov 29 @ Iowa |
4 | 6 | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 6% | <1% |
Rutgers | 2 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 12 vs Wisconsin 7-42 Lost Sat, Oct 19 vs UCLA 32-35 Lost Fri, Oct 25 @ USC 20-42 Won Sat, Nov 09 vs Minnesota 26-19 Sat, Nov 16 @ Maryland Sat, Nov 23 vs Illinois Sat, Nov 30 @ Michigan St. |
4 | 6 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 19% | <1% |
NorthwesternN. Western | 2 Northwestern Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 11 @ Maryland 37-10 Lost Sat, Oct 19 vs Wisconsin 3-23 Lost Sat, Oct 26 @ Iowa 14-40 Won Sat, Nov 02 @ Purdue 26-20 Sat, Nov 16 vs Ohio St. Sat, Nov 23 @ Michigan Sat, Nov 30 vs Illinois |
4 | 6 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 8% | <1% |
USC | 2 USC Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 12 vs Penn St. 30-33 Lost Sat, Oct 19 @ Maryland 28-29 Won Fri, Oct 25 vs Rutgers 42-20 Lost Sat, Nov 02 @ Wash. 21-26 Sat, Nov 16 vs Nebraska Sat, Nov 23 @ UCLA Sat, Nov 30 vs Notre Dame |
5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 17% | <1% |
Maryland | 1 Maryland Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 11 vs N. Western 10-37 Won Sat, Oct 19 vs USC 29-28 Lost Sat, Oct 26 @ Minnesota 23-48 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Oregon 18-39 Sat, Nov 16 vs Rutgers Sat, Nov 23 vs Iowa Sat, Nov 30 @ Penn St. |
5 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 21% | 39% | 5% |
Purdue | 0 Purdue Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 12 @ Illinois 49-50 Lost Fri, Oct 18 vs Oregon 0-35 Lost Sat, Nov 02 vs N. Western 20-26 Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Ohio St. 0-45 Sat, Nov 16 vs Penn St. Fri, Nov 22 @ Michigan St. Sat, Nov 30 @ Indiana |
6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% |
Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|
4 | USC (4‑5) |
27‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 21, 3:30 pm |
5 | Minnesota (6‑4) |
27‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 28, 12:00 pm |
6 | Washington (5‑5) |
17‑27 | Away | Sat Oct 5, 7:30 pm |
8 | Illinois (6‑3) |
7‑21 | Away | Sat Oct 19, 3:30 pm |
9 | Michigan St. (4‑5) |
24‑17 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 7:30 pm |
10 | Oregon (10‑0) |
17‑38 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 3:30 pm |
11 | Indiana (10‑0) |
15‑20 | Away | Sat Nov 9, 2:30 pm |
13 | NorthwesternN. Western (4‑5) |
Home | Sat Nov 23, TBD | |
14 | Ohio St. (8‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 30, 12:00 pm |
Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Fresno State (5‑4) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 30‑10 | Home | Sat Aug 31, 7:30 pm |
2 | Texas (8‑1) |
SECSEC | 12‑31 | Home | Sat Sep 7, 12:00 pm |
3 | Arkansas St. (5‑4) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 28‑18 | Home | Sat Sep 14, 12:00 pm |