The Ohio St. Buckeyes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Ohio St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 0 | 38% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 0 | 35% | 35% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 6% | 34% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 40% | 41% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 35% | 35% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 6% | 34% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Ohio St. beats Penn St. Purdue beats Michigan |
Worst Case Scenario Penn St. beats Ohio St. Michigan beats Purdue |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 70% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 8 | 1 | 19% | 61% | 19% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 7 | 2 | 1% | 19% | 37% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 6 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 5 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 23% | 29% | 22% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 24% | 33% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |