PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 18 8:30 am

Big 10 Football - Week 4 of 13

Wisconsin What If?

The Wisconsin Badgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Wisconsin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Wisconsin What If?

Next Game - Ohio St. (3‑0)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winner No Playoffs
  W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Win Next Game 1 0 18% 18% 18% 16% 13% 10% 6%
Current Standings 0 0 14% 15% 16% 15% 15% 14% 10%
Lose Next Game 0 1 11% 14% 17% 16% 16% 14% 11%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winner No Playoffs
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 18% 18% 18% 16% 13% 10% 6%
Current Standings 14% 15% 16% 15% 15% 14% 10%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 14% 17% 16% 16% 14% 11%
Best Case Scenario
   Wisconsin beats Ohio St.
Worst Case Scenario
   Ohio St. beats Wisconsin
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winner No Playoffs
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
9 of 9 100% 9 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 8 1 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 9 78% 7 2 73% 25% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
6 of 9 67% 6 3 31% 50% 18% 2% <1% <1% ^
5 of 9 56% 5 4 5% 32% 44% 17% 2% <1% <1%
4 of 9 44% 4 5 <1% 5% 27% 46% 21% 2% <1%
3 of 9 33% 3 6 <1% <1% 3% 21% 50% 25% 2%
2 of 9 22% 2 7 X X <1% 1% 15% 55% 29%
1 of 9 11% 1 8 X X X X 1% 14% 85%
0 of 9 0% 0 9 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method