The Wisconsin Badgers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Wisconsin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 6 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 34% | 47% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 3 | 67% | 5 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 3 | 33% | 4 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 29% | 28% | 16% | 6% | <1% | <1% |