PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 29 4:30 pm

Big 12 Basketball - Week 17 of 18

UCF Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UCF Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UCF Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
UCF
(15‑12)

vs
Iowa St.
(22‑6)
37 UCF Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 16% 19% 32% 21% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
Iowa St. Wins X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 25% 59% 6% 1%
Oklahoma St.
(12‑16)

vs
Texas
(18‑10)
10 Oklahoma St. Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 9% 15% 24% 40% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
Texas Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 8% 28% 49% 4% <1%
Houston
(25‑3)

vs
Oklahoma
(19‑9)
7 Houston Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 9% 10% 26% 44% 5% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
Oklahoma Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 27% 51% 4% <1%
BYU
(20‑8)

vs
TCU
(19‑9)
1 BYU Wins X X X X <1% 1% 2% 3% 7% 9% 26% 47% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
TCU Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 11% 27% 47% 5% <1%
Kansas St.
(17‑11)

vs
Cincinnati
(16‑12)
0 Kansas St. Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 41% 34% 3% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
Cincinnati Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 8% 8% 14% 58% 6% <1%
Kansas
(21‑7)

vs
Baylor
(20‑8)
0 Kansas Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 46% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
Baylor Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
Texas Tech
(19‑9)

vs
West Virginia
(9‑19)
0 Texas Tech Wins X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 7% 10% 27% 49% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 27% 47% 4% <1%
West Virginia Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 9% 26% 41% 11% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament