The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| UCF (6‑2) vs Texas Tech (6‑1) |
30 | UCF Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| TCU (4‑3) vs Arizona (3‑3) |
2 | TCU Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Utah (6‑1) vs Baylor (5‑2) |
2 | Utah Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Baylor Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colorado (5‑1) vs Iowa St. (4‑1) |
1 | Colorado Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| West Virginia (4‑2) vs Kansas (7‑0) |
1 | West Virginia Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| BYU (6‑1) vs Arizona St. (7‑1) |
1 | BYU Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kansas St. (6‑2) vs Cincinnati (6‑0) |
0 | Kansas St. Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Houston (4‑3) vs Oklahoma St. (4‑2) |
0 | Houston Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||