The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| UCF (8‑1) vs Kansas (8‑3) |
40 | UCF Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Cincinnati (6‑4) vs Houston (10‑1) |
3 | Cincinnati Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Houston Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Utah (7‑4) vs Arizona (8‑0) |
3 | Utah Wins | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Arizona St. (8‑2) vs Colorado (9‑0) |
2 | Arizona St. Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Colorado Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Kansas St. (7‑4) vs BYU (9‑1) |
1 | Kansas St. Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| BYU Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia (8‑4) vs Iowa St. (11‑0) |
1 | West Virginia Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Baylor (7‑2) vs TCU (6‑3) |
0 | Baylor Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| TCU Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Texas Tech (7‑3) vs Oklahoma St. (8‑1) |
0 | Texas Tech Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||