PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 9 6:15 am

Big 12 Basketball - Week 14 of 18

UCF Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UCF Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UCF Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
UCF
(13‑10)

vs
Iowa St.
(17‑5)
15 UCF Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 13% 15% 15% 14% 12% 9% 5% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Iowa St. Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 13% 15% 15% 15% 11% 6% <1%
Arizona
(17‑5)

vs
Kansas St.
(12‑11)
3 Arizona Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 11% 13% 13% 14% 14% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Kansas St. Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 12% 14% 14% 14% 13% 9% 5% <1%
West Virginia
(14‑8)

vs
BYU
(15‑8)
1 West Virginia Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 13% 13% 14% 14% 13% 9% 5% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
BYU Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 14% 13% 9% 5% <1%
Utah
(13‑10)

vs
Cincinnati
(14‑9)
1 Utah Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 11% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Cincinnati Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Houston
(19‑4)

vs
Baylor
(15‑8)
1 Houston Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 12% 14% 14% 14% 12% 9% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Baylor Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 13% 14% 15% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Colorado
(9‑13)

vs
Kansas
(16‑7)
0 Colorado Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 12% 14% 14% 14% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Kansas Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 12% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Oklahoma St.
(11‑11)

vs
Arizona St.
(12‑10)
0 Oklahoma St. Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 11% 13% 13% 14% 14% 12% 9% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 12% 9% 5% <1%
Arizona St. Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 13% 13% 14% 14% 12% 9% 5% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament