PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Dec 10 10:45 pm

Big 12 Basketball - Week 6 of 18

UCF Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UCF Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UCF Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
UCF
(7‑2)

vs
Texas Tech
(7‑2)
29 UCF Wins 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Texas Tech Wins 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3% 2%
Cincinnati
(7‑1)

vs
Kansas St.
(6‑3)
2 Cincinnati Wins 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Kansas St. Wins 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Oklahoma St.
(6‑2)

vs
Houston
(6‑3)
1 Oklahoma St. Wins 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Houston Wins 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Kansas
(7‑2)

vs
West Virginia
(6‑2)
1 Kansas Wins 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
West Virginia Wins 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Baylor
(6‑3)

vs
Utah
(6‑2)
1 Baylor Wins 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Utah Wins 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
BYU
(6‑2)

vs
Arizona St.
(8‑1)
1 BYU Wins 9% 8% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Arizona St. Wins 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 1%
Iowa St.
(6‑1)

vs
Colorado
(7‑1)
0 Iowa St. Wins 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Colorado Wins 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 1%
Arizona
(4‑3)

vs
TCU
(5‑4)
0 Arizona Wins 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
TCU Wins 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament