The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| UCF (16‑4) vs Texas Tech (16‑4) |
56 | UCF Wins | 1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (12‑8) vs Iowa St. (18‑2) |
9 | Colorado Wins | 1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cincinnati (11‑10) vs Houston (18‑2) |
5 | Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah (9‑11) vs Oklahoma St. (14‑6) |
2 | Utah Wins | <1% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. (11‑10) vs Arizona (21‑0) |
1 | Arizona St. Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | <1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Baylor (11‑9) vs West Virginia (14‑7) |
1 | Baylor Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU (17‑3) vs Kansas (15‑5) |
0 | BYU Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||