The Most Important Games for the BYU Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. BYU Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
BYU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| BYU (8‑1) vs TCU (6‑3) |
38 | BYU Wins | 21% | 50% | 19% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 45% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TCU Wins | 3% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 17% | 10% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona (6‑3) vs Cincinnati (7‑2) |
8 | Arizona Wins | 17% | 51% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 45% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | 15% | 43% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCF (4‑5) vs Texas Tech (9‑1) |
5 | UCF Wins | 51% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 45% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 11% | 50% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Virginia (4‑6) vs Arizona St. (6‑3) |
5 | West Virginia Wins | 16% | 50% | 20% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 45% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 17% | 44% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Baylor (5‑4) vs Utah (7‑2) |
2 | Baylor Wins | 16% | 47% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 45% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah Wins | 16% | 45% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. (4‑5) vs Oklahoma St. (1‑8) |
1 | Kansas St. Wins | 16% | 46% | 19% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 45% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 16% | 45% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||