The Most Important Games for the BYU Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. BYU Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
BYU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| West Virginia (2‑6) vs Houston (7‑1) |
7 | West Virginia Wins | 51% | 28% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston Wins | 48% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas St. (4‑4) vs Texas Tech (7‑1) |
5 | Kansas St. Wins | 56% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 47% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah (6‑2) vs Cincinnati (7‑1) |
3 | Utah Wins | 52% | 23% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | 45% | 26% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa St. (5‑3) vs Arizona St. (5‑3) |
2 | Iowa St. Wins | 49% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 48% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado (3‑5) vs Arizona (4‑3) |
1 | Colorado Wins | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arizona Wins | 48% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCF (4‑3) vs Baylor (4‑4) |
0 | UCF Wins | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Baylor Wins | 48% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kansas (4‑4) vs Oklahoma St. (1‑7) |
0 | Kansas Wins | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 49% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||