The Most Important Games for the Texas Tech Red Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Tech Red Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas Tech Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Texas Tech (6‑0) vs Cincinnati (4‑2) |
29 | Texas Tech Wins | 36% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cincinnati Wins | 10% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCF (3‑3) vs BYU (6‑0) |
4 | UCF Wins | 36% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | 26% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (2‑4) vs Oklahoma St. (4‑2) |
3 | Colorado Wins | 29% | 24% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 28% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. (3‑3) vs Kansas St. (4‑2) |
2 | Arizona St. Wins | 29% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | 27% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston (6‑1) vs Utah (6‑0) |
1 | Houston Wins | 31% | 22% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah Wins | 26% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. (3‑3) vs Arizona (5‑1) |
1 | Iowa St. Wins | 28% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 29% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia (4‑3) vs TCU (3‑3) |
1 | West Virginia Wins | 29% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TCU Wins | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Baylor (4‑2) vs Kansas (2‑4) |
1 | Baylor Wins | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas Wins | 27% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||