The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Colorado (9‑3) vs Montana St. (6‑7) |
5 | Northern Colorado Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Montana St. Wins | 26% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Portland St. (6‑5) vs Weber St. (6‑7) |
0 | Portland St. Wins | 33% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 34% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Idaho (8‑5) vs Eastern Washington (2‑11) |
0 | Idaho Wins | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Washington Wins | 35% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Northern Arizona (5‑7) vs Montana (6‑7) |
0 | Northern Arizona Wins | 33% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Montana Wins | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Idaho St. (7‑6) vs Sacramento St. (4‑8) |
0 | Idaho St. Wins | 33% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 33% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||