The Most Important Games for the Northern Colorado Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Colorado Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Colorado Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Northern Colorado (9‑2) vs Montana St. (5‑7) |
4 | Northern Colorado Wins | 40% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Montana St. Wins | 30% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Montana (6‑5) vs Northern Arizona (4‑6) |
0 | Montana Wins | 36% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Arizona Wins | 37% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Portland St. (6‑3) vs Weber St. (5‑5) |
0 | Portland St. Wins | 37% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Weber St. Wins | 37% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Idaho St. (6‑5) vs Sacramento St. (4‑6) |
0 | Idaho St. Wins | 37% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 37% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Washington (2‑8) vs Idaho (7‑4) |
0 | Eastern Washington Wins | 38% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Idaho Wins | 36% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||