The Most Important Games for the Cal Poly Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cal Poly Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cal Poly Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Cal Poly (1‑0) vs CSU Northridge (0‑0) |
22 | Cal Poly Wins | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 33% | ||
| UC San Diego (1‑0) vs California Baptist (0‑0) |
1 | UC San Diego Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| UC Irvine (0‑0) vs UC Riverside (1‑0) |
1 | UC Irvine Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| UC Riverside Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| UCSB (1‑0) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (0‑0) |
1 | UCSB Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 32% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (0‑0) vs Sacramento St. (1‑0) |
1 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| Sacramento St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| Utah Valley (1‑0) vs Long Beach St. (0‑1) |
0 | Utah Valley Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 32% | ||