The Most Important Games for the Cal Poly Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cal Poly Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cal Poly Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Cal Poly (13‑18) vs CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑23) |
0 | Cal Poly Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| CSU Northridge (19‑12) vs CSU Fullerton (16‑15) |
0 | CSU Northridge Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| CSU Fullerton Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| UCSB (18‑12) vs UC San Diego (21‑10) |
0 | UCSB Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| UC Irvine (21‑10) vs UC Davis (18‑12) |
0 | UC Irvine Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| UC Davis Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| Hawai'i (22‑7) vs Long Beach St. (9‑22) |
0 | Hawai'i Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ||