The Most Important Games for the Cal Poly Mustangs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mustangs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cal Poly Mustangs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cal Poly Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Cal Poly (5‑6) vs UC Irvine (9‑0) |
28 | Cal Poly Wins | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||
| UC Irvine Wins | <1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 21% | ||
| UC Riverside (6‑4) vs Long Beach St. (4‑8) |
2 | UC Riverside Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 22% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑6) vs UC Davis (5‑4) |
2 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 20% | ||
| CSU Fullerton (3‑8) vs CSU Northridge (7‑3) |
1 | CSU Fullerton Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 20% | ||
| UCSB (6‑3) vs Hawai'i (5‑3) |
0 | UCSB Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 20% | ||