Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT |
| Hawai'i | 0i Hawai'i Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 25 vs San Diego 77-66 Lost Thu, Nov 30 @ Utah 66-79 Won Sun, Dec 03 vs C Arkansas 95-76 Won Sun, Dec 10 vs Hawaii Pacific 78-53 Sun, Dec 17 vs Nevada Thu, Dec 21 vs Portland Fri, Dec 22 vs TBD Sun, Dec 24 vs TBD |
0 | 0 | 29% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Long Beach St. | 0 Long Beach St. Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Montana St. 75-69 Won Sat, Dec 02 vs Sacram. St. 83-73 Won Wed, Dec 06 vs LIFE Pacific 88-66 Won Sun, Dec 10 @ USC 84-79 Tue, Dec 19 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills Thu, Dec 28 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Dec 30 vs CSU Northridge Thu, Jan 04 @ Cal Poly |
0 | 0 | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ^ |
| UC Irvine | 0 UC Irvine Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 24 @ Rice 83-68 Lost Wed, Nov 29 @ Duquesne 62-66 Lost Sat, Dec 02 @ Utah St. 69-79 Lost Sat, Dec 09 @ San Diego St. 62-63 Sat, Dec 16 vs South Dakota Wed, Dec 20 @ New Mexico Thu, Dec 28 vs UC Riverside Sat, Dec 30 @ CSU Bakersfield |
0 | 0 | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ^ |
| CSU Fullerton | 0 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 01 vs North Dakota 64-54 Won Sun, Dec 03 vs Stanton 102-52 Won Wed, Dec 06 @ Pepperd. 60-55 Won Sat, Dec 09 @ Sacram. St. 62-60 Sun, Dec 17 @ Boise St. Wed, Dec 20 vs Pacific Thu, Dec 28 vs Long Beach St. Sun, Dec 31 @ Hawai'i |
0 | 0 | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ^ |
| UCSB | 0 UCSB Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 27 @ Fresno St. 69-65 Won Wed, Nov 29 vs Northern Arizona 70-59 Lost Wed, Dec 06 @ New Mexico 61-84 Won Sat, Dec 09 vs Bethesda (CA) 126-76 Sat, Dec 16 vs Loyola Marymount Wed, Dec 20 vs Howard Thu, Dec 28 @ UC Davis Sat, Dec 30 @ UC Riverside |
0 | 0 | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | ^ |
| CSU Northridge | 0 CSU Northridge Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 24 vs Miss. Valley St. 84-48 Won Wed, Nov 29 @ Pacific 80-69 Lost Sat, Dec 02 @ Northern Colorado 71-75 Won Thu, Dec 07 vs Bethesda (CA) 92-54 Mon, Dec 11 vs Utah Tech Tue, Dec 19 @ UCLA Fri, Dec 22 vs Montana St. Thu, Dec 28 @ Cal Poly |
0 | 0 | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ^ |
| UC Riverside | 0 UC Riverside Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 26 vs Bethesda (CA) 109-63 Lost Thu, Nov 30 @ UCLA 65-66 Won Sun, Dec 03 vs North Dakota 68-62 Lost Wed, Dec 06 @ Washington St. 49-86 Sat, Dec 16 vs California Baptist Thu, Dec 21 vs Idaho Thu, Dec 28 @ UC Irvine Sat, Dec 30 vs UCSB |
0 | 0 | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ^ |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 22 vs Tarleton St. 40-59 Lost Tue, Nov 28 @ Gonzaga 65-81 Won Tue, Dec 05 vs Whittier 106-58 Lost Sat, Dec 09 @ South Dakota 73-78 Fri, Dec 15 @ Fresno St. Tue, Dec 19 vs South Dakota Thu, Dec 28 @ UC San Diego Sat, Dec 30 vs UC Irvine |
0 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 20% | ^ |
| Cal Poly | 0 Cal Poly Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 29 vs San José State 81-77 Lost Sat, Dec 02 @ Idaho 70-85 Lost Mon, Dec 04 @ Oregon St. 63-70 Lost Sat, Dec 09 @ Weber St. 50-78 Mon, Dec 18 vs Eastern Washington Thu, Dec 21 vs Nebraska O. Thu, Dec 28 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Dec 30 @ UC Davis |
0 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 21% | ^ |
| UC Davis | 0 UC Davis Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Sacram. St. 63-69 Lost Thu, Nov 30 @ Oregon St. 59-71 Lost Wed, Dec 06 @ Nevada 68-80 Lost Sat, Dec 09 vs Wis. Milwaukee 79-81 Sat, Dec 16 @ Pacific Tue, Dec 19 vs Montana Thu, Dec 21 vs UC Merced Thu, Dec 28 vs UCSB |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 24% | ^ |
| UC San Diego | 0 UC San Diego Recent Games Lost Tue, Nov 28 @ Washington 56-83 Lost Fri, Dec 01 vs San Diego St. 62-63 Won Tue, Dec 05 vs Occidental 98-67 Lost Sat, Dec 09 @ Pepperd. 62-68 Mon, Dec 18 @ Sacram. St. Wed, Dec 20 @ California Thu, Dec 28 vs CSU Bakersfield Thu, Jan 04 @ UCSB |
0 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 36% | ||
| (10)UC Davis | 0 | 0 | 13% |
| (8)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 | 0 | 12% |
| (7)UC Riverside | 0 | 0 | 10% |
| (6)CSU Northridge | 0 | 0 | 8% |
| (5)UCSB | 0 | 0 | 6% |
| (4)CSU Fullerton | 0 | 0 | 5% |
| (3)UC Irvine | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (2)Long Beach St. | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (1)Hawai'i | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CSU Northridge (6‑3) |
Home | Thu Dec 28, 10:00 am | |
| 8 | UC Davis (3‑5) |
Away | Sat Dec 30, 5:00 am | |
| 9 | Long Beach St. (7‑4) |
Home | Thu Jan 4, 10:00 am | |
| 9 | UCSB (5‑3) |
Home | Sat Jan 6, 10:00 am | |
| 10 | UC Riverside (4‑6) |
Away | Thu Jan 11, 10:00 am | |
| 10 | UC San Diego (5‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 13, 7:00 am | |
| 11 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 20, 10:00 am | |
| 12 | CSU Fullerton (6‑4) |
Home | Thu Jan 25, 10:00 am | |
| 12 | Hawai'i (7‑1) |
Away | Sun Jan 28, 12:01 am | |
| 13 | UC Irvine (5‑4) |
Home | Thu Feb 1, 10:00 am | |
| 13 | UC Davis (3‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 3, 6:00 am | |
| 14 | CSU Northridge (6‑3) |
Away | Thu Feb 8, 10:00 am | |
| 14 | Long Beach St. (7‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 10, 7:00 am | |
| 15 | Hawai'i (7‑1) |
Home | Thu Feb 15, 10:00 am | |
| 16 | CSU Fullerton (6‑4) |
Away | Thu Feb 22, 10:00 am | |
| 16 | UC Riverside (4‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 24, 10:00 am | |
| 17 | UCSB (5‑3) |
Away | Thu Feb 29, TBD | |
| 17 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑5) |
Home | Sat Mar 2, 10:00 am | |
| 18 | UC Irvine (5‑4) |
Away | Thu Mar 7, 10:00 am | |
| 18 | UC San Diego (5‑5) |
Away | Sat Mar 9, 7:00 am |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Verne | ‑‑ | 80‑62 | Home | Mon Nov 6, 10:00 am |
| 1 | Denver (6‑4) |
SummitSummit | 76‑97 | Away | Thu Nov 9, 9:00 am |
| 1 | Wyoming (6‑3) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 66‑80 | Away | Sat Nov 11, 9:00 am |
| 2 | St. Thomas (6‑4) |
SummitSummit | 61‑60 | Away | Fri Nov 17, 7:30 am |
| 2 | Portland St. (8‑2) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 57‑73 | Away | Sat Nov 18, 5:30 am |
| 2 | California Baptist (6‑2) |
WACWAC | 58‑67 | Away | Sun Nov 19, 8:00 am |
| 4 | San José State (6‑5) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 81‑77 | Home | Wed Nov 29, 10:00 am |
| 4 | Idaho (6‑4) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 70‑85 | Away | Sat Dec 2, 5:00 am |
| 5 | Oregon St. (6‑3) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 63‑70 | Away | Mon Dec 4, 10:00 am |
| 5 | Weber St. (5‑3) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 50‑78 | Away | Sat Dec 9, 9:00 am |
| 7 | Eastern Washington (2‑6) |
Big SkyBig Sky | Home | Mon Dec 18, 10:00 am | |
| 7 | Nebraska Omaha (5‑6) |
SummitSummit | Home | Thu Dec 21, 10:00 am |