Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Riverside | 2i UC Riverside Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Alcorn St. 69-52 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Idaho 68-80 Won Thu, Dec 05 @ CSU Northridge 68-64 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs CSU Fullerton 75-68 Sun, Dec 15 vs St. Francis (IL) Wed, Dec 18 vs Montana St. Sat, Dec 21 @ UNLV Sun, Dec 29 vs St. Thomas |
0 | 2 | 12% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Long Beach St. | 2 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 27 vs San José State 66-82 Won Thu, Dec 05 @ CSU Fullerton 73-56 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Hawai'i 76-68 Won Tue, Dec 10 @ San Diego 76-70 Thu, Dec 19 @ Pepperd. Sun, Dec 22 vs La Sierra Thu, Jan 02 vs UC Riverside Sat, Jan 04 @ CSU Bakersfield |
0 | 2 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 35% |
| UC Davis | 2 UC Davis Recent Games Lost Mon, Nov 25 vs Norfolk St. 55-76 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Oregon St. 57-90 Won Thu, Dec 05 vs Cal Poly 77-66 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs UCSB 71-60 Sat, Dec 14 @ Sacram. St. Wed, Dec 18 vs Idaho Sat, Dec 21 @ Pepperd. Sat, Dec 28 vs Cal Maritime |
0 | 2 | 9% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% |
| UC Irvine | 1 UC Irvine Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 28 vs Owls 76-59 Won Fri, Nov 29 @ Kent State 51-39 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Towson 67-60 Won Thu, Dec 05 vs CSU Bakersfield 82-66 Sat, Dec 14 @ Oregon St. Thu, Dec 19 @ Belmont Sat, Dec 21 @ Duquesne Mon, Dec 30 @ California Baptist |
0 | 1 | 65% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CSU Northridge | 1 CSU Northridge Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 27 @ Montana 75-83 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Montana St. 72-69 Lost Thu, Dec 05 vs UC Riverside 64-68 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Cal Poly 102-91 Wed, Dec 18 @ USC Sat, Dec 21 vs Chicago St. Sat, Dec 28 vs La Sierra Thu, Jan 02 @ CSU Fullerton |
1 | 2 | 8% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Hawai'i | 0 Hawai'i Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 23 vs North Carolina 69-87 Won Wed, Nov 27 vs Hawaii Pacific 67-63 Lost Tue, Dec 03 @ Grand Canyon 72-78 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Long Beach St. 68-76 Sun, Dec 15 vs TX A&M C.C. Sun, Dec 22 vs Charlotte Fri, Jan 03 vs UCSB Sun, Jan 05 vs Cal Poly |
1 | 1 | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 28% |
| UCSB | 0 UCSB Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 26 vs Eastern Washington 67-51 Won Fri, Nov 29 vs Miss. Valley St. 81-48 Lost Thu, Dec 05 vs UC San Diego 76-84 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ UC Davis 60-71 Sat, Dec 14 vs Green Bay Wed, Dec 18 @ Loyola Marymount Sun, Dec 22 @ Missouri St. Sat, Dec 28 vs Westcliff |
2 | 2 | 2% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 16% |
| Cal Poly | 0 Cal Poly Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 26 vs Grambling 82-79 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ Stanford 97-90 Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ UC Davis 66-77 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs CSU Northridge 91-102 Sat, Dec 14 @ San José State Tue, Dec 17 vs Denver Sat, Dec 21 @ Nebraska O. Thu, Jan 02 vs UC Irvine |
2 | 2 | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 20% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 24 @ N. Eastern 68-60 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Southern Utah 64-74 Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ UC Irvine 66-82 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ UC San Diego 60-81 Sun, Dec 15 vs La Sierra Wed, Dec 18 @ Portland Sat, Dec 21 vs Portland St. Mon, Dec 23 @ North Dakota St. |
2 | 2 | <1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 33% |
| CSU Fullerton | 0 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Pacific 55-64 Lost Thu, Dec 05 vs Long Beach St. 56-73 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ UC Riverside 68-75 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs La Sierra 61-55 Sun, Dec 15 vs Denver Sun, Dec 22 vs Wyoming Sat, Dec 28 vs Nobel Thu, Jan 02 vs CSU Northridge |
2 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 54% |
| UC San Diego | 2 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 23 vs Toledo 80-45 Won Sat, Nov 30 vs La Verne 109-33 Won Thu, Dec 05 @ UCSB 84-76 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs CSU Bakersfield 81-60 Sun, Dec 15 @ Idaho Tue, Dec 17 @ Utah St. Sat, Dec 21 @ San Diego Sat, Dec 28 vs Occidental |
0 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 30% | ||
| (2)Long Beach St. | 2 | 0 | 8% |
| (6)Hawai'i | 0 | 1 | 7% |
| (9)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 | 2 | 7% |
| (7)UCSB | 0 | 2 | 7% |
| (10)CSU Fullerton | 0 | 2 | 6% |
| (5)CSU Northridge | 1 | 1 | 5% |
| (3)UC Davis | 2 | 0 | 5% |
| (1)UC Riverside | 2 | 0 | 4% |
| (4)UC Irvine | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | 20% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UC Davis (5‑4) |
66‑77 | Away | Thu Dec 5, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | CSU Northridge (7‑3) |
91‑102 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | UC Irvine (9‑0) |
Home | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Hawai'i (5‑3) |
Away | Sun Jan 5, 12:01 am | |
| 10 | UC San Diego (8‑2) |
Away | Thu Jan 9, 10:00 pm | |
| 10 | UCSB (6‑3) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | UC Davis (5‑4) |
Home | Thu Jan 16, 10:00 pm | |
| 11 | UC Irvine (9‑0) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 10:00 pm | |
| 12 | Long Beach St. (4‑8) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, 5:00 pm | |
| 13 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑6) |
Away | Thu Jan 30, 9:30 pm | |
| 13 | UC Riverside (6‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 1, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Hawai'i (5‑3) |
Home | Thu Feb 6, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | CSU Fullerton (3‑8) |
Away | Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | CSU Northridge (7‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | UC San Diego (8‑2) |
Home | Thu Feb 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | UC Riverside (6‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 5:00 pm | |
| 17 | UCSB (6‑3) |
Away | Thu Feb 27, TBD | |
| 17 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (4‑6) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 5:00 pm | |
| 18 | CSU Fullerton (3‑8) |
Home | Thu Mar 6, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | Long Beach St. (4‑8) |
Away | Sat Mar 8, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco (7‑2) |
West CoastWest Coast | 78‑86 | Away | Tue Nov 5, 10:00 pm |
| 1 | California (6‑3) |
ACCACC | 73‑91 | Away | Thu Nov 7, 10:00 pm |
| 1 | Menlo | ‑‑ | 99‑66 | Home | Sun Nov 10, 9:00 pm |
| 2 | Seattle (3‑6) |
WACWAC | 75‑71 | Home | Thu Nov 14, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Eastern Washington (2‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 82‑78 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Arizona St. (8‑1) |
Big 12Big 12 | 89‑93 | Away | Wed Nov 20, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | St. Mary's (9‑1) |
West CoastWest Coast | 66‑80 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Grambling (2‑6) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 82‑79 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | Stanford (8‑2) |
ACCACC | 97‑90 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 10:00 pm |
| 6 | San José State (5‑6) |
Mountain WestMntn West | Away | Sat Dec 14, 10:00 pm | |
| 7 | Denver (6‑6) |
SummitSummit | Home | Tue Dec 17, 10:00 pm | |
| 7 | Nebraska Omaha (4‑7) |
SummitSummit | Away | Sat Dec 21, 8:00 pm |