PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Dec 11 6:45 am

Big West Basketball - Week 6 of 18

Cal Poly Mustangs Standings

Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big West Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
Hawai'i 0i
Hawai'i Recent Games

Won  Sat, Nov 25 vs San Diego        77-66 
Lost Thu, Nov 30 @  Utah             66-79 
Won  Sun, Dec 03 vs C Arkansas       95-76 
Won  Sun, Dec 10 vs Hawaii Pacific   78-53 
     Sun, Dec 17 vs Nevada          
     Thu, Dec 21 vs Portland        
     Fri, Dec 22 vs TBD             
     Sun, Dec 24 vs TBD             

0 0 29% 19% 14% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% ^
Long Beach St. 0
Long Beach St. Recent Games

Won  Sun, Nov 26 @  Montana St.      75-69 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs Sacram. St.      83-73 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 vs LIFE Pacific     88-66 
Won  Sun, Dec 10 @  USC              84-79 
     Tue, Dec 19 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills 
     Thu, Dec 28 @  CSU Fullerton   
     Sat, Dec 30 vs CSU Northridge  
     Thu, Jan 04 @  Cal Poly        

0 0 18% 16% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% ^
UC Irvine 0
UC Irvine Recent Games

Won  Fri, Nov 24 @  Rice             83-68 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 @  Duquesne         62-66 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Utah St.         69-79 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 @  San Diego St.    62-63 
     Sat, Dec 16 vs South Dakota    
     Wed, Dec 20 @  New Mexico      
     Thu, Dec 28 vs UC Riverside    
     Sat, Dec 30 @  CSU Bakersfield 

0 0 16% 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2% ^
CSU Fullerton 0
CSU Fullerton Recent Games

Won  Fri, Dec 01 vs North Dakota     64-54 
Won  Sun, Dec 03 vs Stanton         102-52 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 @  Pepperd.         60-55 
Won  Sat, Dec 09 @  Sacram. St.      62-60 
     Sun, Dec 17 @  Boise St.       
     Wed, Dec 20 vs Pacific         
     Thu, Dec 28 vs Long Beach St.  
     Sun, Dec 31 @  Hawai'i         

0 0 14% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 3% ^
UCSB 0
UCSB Recent Games

Won  Mon, Nov 27 @  Fresno St.       69-65 
Won  Wed, Nov 29 vs Northern Arizona  70-59 
Lost Wed, Dec 06 @  New Mexico       61-84 
Won  Sat, Dec 09 vs Bethesda (CA)   126-76 
     Sat, Dec 16 vs Loyola Marymount 
     Wed, Dec 20 vs Howard          
     Thu, Dec 28 @  UC Davis        
     Sat, Dec 30 @  UC Riverside    

0 0 11% 13% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% ^
CSU Northridge 0
CSU Northridge Recent Games

Won  Fri, Nov 24 vs Miss. Valley St.  84-48 
Won  Wed, Nov 29 @  Pacific          80-69 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Northern Colorado  71-75 
Won  Thu, Dec 07 vs Bethesda (CA)    92-54 
     Mon, Dec 11 vs Utah Tech       
     Tue, Dec 19 @  UCLA            
     Fri, Dec 22 vs Montana St.     
     Thu, Dec 28 @  Cal Poly        

0 0 6% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 11% 9% ^
UC Riverside 0
UC Riverside Recent Games

Won  Sun, Nov 26 vs Bethesda (CA)   109-63 
Lost Thu, Nov 30 @  UCLA             65-66 
Won  Sun, Dec 03 vs North Dakota     68-62 
Lost Wed, Dec 06 @  Washington St.   49-86 
     Sat, Dec 16 vs California Baptist 
     Thu, Dec 21 vs Idaho           
     Thu, Dec 28 @  UC Irvine       
     Sat, Dec 30 vs UCSB            

0 0 3% 5% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 14% ^
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild 0
CSU Bakersfield Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 22 vs Tarleton St.     40-59 
Lost Tue, Nov 28 @  Gonzaga          65-81 
Won  Tue, Dec 05 vs Whittier        106-58 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 @  South Dakota     73-78 
     Fri, Dec 15 @  Fresno St.      
     Tue, Dec 19 vs South Dakota    
     Thu, Dec 28 @  UC San Diego    
     Sat, Dec 30 vs UC Irvine       

0 0 1% 3% 5% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 16% 20% ^
Cal Poly 0
Cal Poly Recent Games

Won  Wed, Nov 29 vs San José State   81-77 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Idaho            70-85 
Lost Mon, Dec 04 @  Oregon St.       63-70 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 @  Weber St.        50-78 
     Mon, Dec 18 vs Eastern Washington 
     Thu, Dec 21 vs Nebraska O.     
     Thu, Dec 28 vs CSU Northridge  
     Sat, Dec 30 @  UC Davis        

0 0 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 14% 17% 21% ^
UC Davis 0
UC Davis Recent Games

Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Sacram. St.      63-69 
Lost Thu, Nov 30 @  Oregon St.       59-71 
Lost Wed, Dec 06 @  Nevada           68-80 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 vs Wis. Milwaukee   79-81 
     Sat, Dec 16 @  Pacific         
     Tue, Dec 19 vs Montana         
     Thu, Dec 21 vs UC Merced       
     Thu, Dec 28 vs UCSB            

0 0 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 18% 24% ^
 
UC San Diego 0
UC San Diego Recent Games

Lost Tue, Nov 28 @  Washington       56-83 
Lost Fri, Dec 01 vs San Diego St.    62-63 
Won  Tue, Dec 05 vs Occidental       98-67 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 @  Pepperd.         62-68 
     Mon, Dec 18 @  Sacram. St.     
     Wed, Dec 20 @  California      
     Thu, Dec 28 vs CSU Bakersfield 
     Thu, Jan 04 @  UCSB            

0 0 X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(9) Mustangs 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 36%
(10)UC Davis 0 0 13%
(8)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild 0 0 12%
(7)UC Riverside 0 0 10%
(6)CSU Northridge 0 0 8%
(5)UCSB 0 0 6%
(4)CSU Fullerton 0 0 5%
(3)UC Irvine 0 0 4%
(2)Long Beach St. 0 0 4%
(1)Hawai'i 0 0 2%
Elimination X



Mustangs Conference Schedule
Current Week 7
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
8 CSU Northridge
(6‑3)
  Home Thu Dec 28, 10:00 am
8 UC Davis
(3‑5)
  Away Sat Dec 30, 5:00 am
9 Long Beach St.
(7‑4)
  Home Thu Jan 4, 10:00 am
9 UCSB
(5‑3)
  Home Sat Jan 6, 10:00 am
10 UC Riverside
(4‑6)
  Away Thu Jan 11, 10:00 am
10 UC San Diego
(5‑5)
  Home Sat Jan 13, 7:00 am
11 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(4‑5)
  Away Sat Jan 20, 10:00 am
12 CSU Fullerton
(6‑4)
  Home Thu Jan 25, 10:00 am
12 Hawai'i
(7‑1)
  Away Sun Jan 28, 12:01 am
13 UC Irvine
(5‑4)
  Home Thu Feb 1, 10:00 am
13 UC Davis
(3‑5)
  Home Sat Feb 3, 6:00 am
14 CSU Northridge
(6‑3)
  Away Thu Feb 8, 10:00 am
14 Long Beach St.
(7‑4)
  Away Sat Feb 10, 7:00 am
15 Hawai'i
(7‑1)
  Home Thu Feb 15, 10:00 am
16 CSU Fullerton
(6‑4)
  Away Thu Feb 22, 10:00 am
16 UC Riverside
(4‑6)
  Home Sat Feb 24, 10:00 am
17 UCSB
(5‑3)
  Away Thu Feb 29, TBD
17 CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild
(4‑5)
  Home Sat Mar 2, 10:00 am
18 UC Irvine
(5‑4)
  Away Thu Mar 7, 10:00 am
18 UC San Diego
(5‑5)
  Away Sat Mar 9, 7:00 am


Mustangs Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 La Verne ‑‑ 80‑62 Home Mon Nov 6, 10:00 am
1 Denver
(6‑4)
SummitSummit 76‑97 Away Thu Nov 9, 9:00 am
1 Wyoming
(6‑3)
Mountain WestMntn West 66‑80 Away Sat Nov 11, 9:00 am
2 St. Thomas
(6‑4)
SummitSummit 61‑60 Away Fri Nov 17, 7:30 am
2 Portland St.
(8‑2)
Big SkyBig Sky 57‑73 Away Sat Nov 18, 5:30 am
2 California Baptist
(6‑2)
WACWAC 58‑67 Away Sun Nov 19, 8:00 am
4 San José State
(6‑5)
Mountain WestMntn West 81‑77 Home Wed Nov 29, 10:00 am
4 Idaho
(6‑4)
Big SkyBig Sky 70‑85 Away Sat Dec 2, 5:00 am
5 Oregon St.
(6‑3)
PAC 12PAC 12 63‑70 Away Mon Dec 4, 10:00 am
5 Weber St.
(5‑3)
Big SkyBig Sky 50‑78 Away Sat Dec 9, 9:00 am
7 Eastern Washington
(2‑6)
Big SkyBig Sky   Home Mon Dec 18, 10:00 am
7 Nebraska Omaha
(5‑6)
SummitSummit   Home Thu Dec 21, 10:00 am