Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT |
| UCSB | 9i UCSB Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 21 vs CSU Bakersfield 76-58 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Hawai'i 65-64 Thu, Feb 02 vs Cal Poly Won Sat, Feb 04 @ CSU Northridge 1-0 Thu, Feb 09 @ Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 11 vs UC Davis Wed, Feb 15 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 18 @ UC Riverside |
1 | 10 | 54% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| UC Riverside | 8 UC Riverside Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 16 vs Cal Poly 83-78 Won Thu, Jan 19 @ UC Davis 74-72 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Hawai'i 63-67 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs UC San Diego 72-65 Thu, Feb 02 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 04 @ CSU Fullerton Thu, Feb 09 vs UC Davis Sat, Feb 11 @ UC Irvine |
2 | 10 | 22% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| UC Irvine | 7 UC Irvine Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 16 vs UCSB 65-73 Won Thu, Jan 19 vs Hawai'i 76-68 Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ CSU Fullerton 61-62 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs CSU Northridge 81-56 Thu, Feb 02 @ UC San Diego Sat, Feb 04 @ Long Beach St. Thu, Feb 09 vs Cal Poly Sat, Feb 11 vs UC Riverside |
2 | 9 | 13% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Hawai'i | 7 Hawai'i Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ UC Irvine 68-76 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ UC Riverside 67-63 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs UCSB 64-65 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs CSU Bakersfield 72-69 Thu, Feb 02 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 04 @ Cal Poly Thu, Feb 09 vs UC San Diego Sat, Feb 11 vs CSU Fullerton |
3 | 10 | 9% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Long Beach St. | 6 Long Beach St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 vs CSU Fullerton 72-67 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ UC San Diego 112-110 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Cal Poly 70-52 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs UC Davis 75-72 Thu, Feb 02 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 04 vs UC Irvine Thu, Feb 09 vs UCSB Sat, Feb 11 @ CSU Bakersfield |
4 | 10 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| UC Davis | 6 UC Davis Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs UC Riverside 72-74 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Cal Poly 65-63 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ CSU Bakersfield 79-58 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Long Beach St. 72-75 Thu, Feb 02 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 09 @ UC Riverside Sat, Feb 11 @ UCSB Wed, Feb 15 vs CSU Northridge |
4 | 10 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 21% | 28% | 30% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| CSU Fullerton | 6 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Long Beach St. 67-72 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ CSU Northridge 66-69 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs UC Irvine 62-61 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Cal Poly 65-36 Thu, Feb 02 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 04 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 11 @ Hawai'i Wed, Feb 15 @ UC San Diego |
5 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 36% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 16 @ CSU Fullerton 46-76 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ UCSB 58-76 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs UC Davis 58-79 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Hawai'i 69-72 Thu, Feb 02 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 04 @ UC San Diego Thu, Feb 09 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Feb 11 vs Long Beach St. |
8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 62% | 23% | 10% | ^ |
| Cal Poly | 1 Cal Poly Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs UC San Diego 64-71 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ UC Davis 63-65 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Long Beach St. 52-70 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs CSU Fullerton 36-65 Thu, Feb 02 @ UCSB Sat, Feb 04 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 09 @ UC Irvine Sat, Feb 11 @ CSU Northridge |
9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 23% | 49% | 28% | ^ |
| CSU Northridge | 1 CSU Northridge Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 21 vs CSU Fullerton 69-66 Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs UC San Diego 57-65 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ UC Irvine 56-81 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs UCSB 0-1 Thu, Feb 09 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 11 vs Cal Poly Wed, Feb 15 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 18 @ UC San Diego |
11 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 28% | 62% | ^ |
| UC San Diego | 3 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Cal Poly 71-64 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Long Beach St. 110-112 Won Thu, Jan 26 @ CSU Northridge 65-57 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ UC Riverside 65-72 Thu, Feb 02 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 04 vs CSU Bakersfield Thu, Feb 09 @ Hawai'i Wed, Feb 15 vs CSU Fullerton |
7 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | <1% | ||
| (8)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 | 8 | 60% |
| (10)CSU Northridge | 1 | 11 | 11% |
| (7)CSU Fullerton | 6 | 5 | 10% |
| (5)Long Beach St. | 6 | 4 | 9% |
| (6)UC Davis | 6 | 4 | 9% |
| (4)Hawai'i | 7 | 3 | 1% |
| (3)UC Irvine | 7 | 2 | <1% |
| (2)UC Riverside | 8 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)UCSB | 9 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CSU Northridge (4‑19) |
67‑57 | Home | Thu Dec 29, 10:00 pm |
| 8 | Hawai'i (16‑6) |
48‑57 | Away | Sat Dec 31, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (6‑15) |
51‑61 | Away | Thu Jan 5, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | UCSB (18‑3) |
57‑62 | Home | Sat Jan 7, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Long Beach St. (12‑10) |
58‑77 | Away | Thu Jan 12, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | UC Riverside (15‑7) |
78‑83 (OT) | Away | Mon Jan 16, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | UC San Diego (8‑15) |
64‑71 | Home | Thu Jan 19, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | UC Davis (13‑9) |
63‑65 | Away | Sat Jan 21, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Long Beach St. (12‑10) |
52‑70 | Home | Thu Jan 26, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | CSU Fullerton (12‑11) |
36‑65 | Home | Sat Jan 28, 10:00 pm |
| 13 | UCSB (18‑3) |
Away | Thu Feb 2, 10:00 pm | |
| 13 | Hawai'i (16‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 4, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | UC Irvine (14‑7) |
Away | Thu Feb 9, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | CSU Northridge (4‑19) |
Away | Sat Feb 11, 4:00 pm | |
| 15 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (6‑15) |
Home | Wed Feb 15, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | CSU Fullerton (12‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | UC Irvine (14‑7) |
Home | Mon Feb 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | UC Davis (13‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 25, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | UC San Diego (8‑15) |
Away | Thu Mar 2, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | UC Riverside (15‑7) |
Home | Sat Mar 4, 10:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BETHESDA U. | ‑‑ | 94‑59 | Home | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | San Francisco | ‑‑ | 48‑60 | Away | Thu Nov 10 |
| 2 | Stanford | ‑‑ | 43‑80 | Away | Fri Nov 18 |
| 2 | Mount St. Mary's | ‑‑ | 68‑73 | Home | Sun Nov 20 |
| 3 | Idaho | ‑‑ | 82‑71 | Home | Wed Nov 23 |
| 4 | Pacific | ‑‑ | 62‑58 | Away | Mon Nov 28 |
| 4 | California Baptist | ‑‑ | 64‑53 | Home | Sat Dec 3 |
| 5 | Portland St. | ‑‑ | 72‑49 | Home | Sat Dec 10, 10:00 pm |
| 6 | Washington | ‑‑ | 68‑74 | Away | Tue Dec 13, 10:30 pm |
| 6 | Weber St. | ‑‑ | 45‑74 | Home | Fri Dec 16, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | San José State | ‑‑ | 43‑65 | Away | Tue Dec 20, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | SAN DIEGO CHRISTIAN | ‑‑ | 72‑59 | Home | Thu Dec 22 |