Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
Li Schedule Content Number of Loses ----- Hover/Touch Content Remaining Games Venue |
GPi Schedule Content Games Played 20 game season ----- Hover/Touch Content Two-Team Tiebreaker Status |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Irvine | 2i UC Irvine Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 04 vs UC Riverside 73-60 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs CSU Northridge 85-71 Lost Fri, Dec 19 vs Belmont 58-84 Won Sun, Dec 21 @ North Dakota St. 74-73 Thu, Jan 01 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Jan 03 @ CSU Fullerton Thu, Jan 08 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Jan 10 @ Hawai'i |
0i
UC Irvine Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 3 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2i
UC Irvine Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
12% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
| Hawai'i | 2 Hawai'i Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 04 vs UC Davis 75-69 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs CSU Fullerton 69-59 Won Wed, Dec 10 vs Hawai'i Hilo 98-46 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs UTEP 66-61 Thu, Jan 01 @ UC Riverside Sat, Jan 03 @ UC San Diego Sat, Jan 10 vs UC Irvine Thu, Jan 15 @ Cal Poly |
0
Hawai'i Remaining Games Venue SOS - 53% SOS Rank - 1 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
Hawai'i Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
21% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| UCSB | 2 UCSB Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 04 vs Long Beach St. 84-77 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs CSU Bakersfield 109-84 Lost Sat, Dec 13 @ Utah Valley 53-68 Lost Wed, Dec 17 @ Green Bay 64-67 Mon, Dec 22 vs Portland Thu, Jan 01 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Jan 03 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Jan 08 vs UC Davis |
0
UCSB Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 4 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
UCSB Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% |
| UC San Diego | 1 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 06 @ Long Beach St. 80-74 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs Tulane 93-67 Won Tue, Dec 16 @ Loyola Marymount 67-57 Lost Fri, Dec 19 vs San Diego 80-82 Sun, Dec 28 vs Stanton Thu, Jan 01 @ Cal Poly Sat, Jan 03 vs Hawai'i Thu, Jan 08 vs CSU Fullerton |
0
UC San Diego Remaining Games Venue SOS - 47% SOS Rank - 10 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
1
UC San Diego Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
45% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| UC Riverside | 1 UC Riverside Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 06 @ Cal Poly 88-84 Lost Sat, Dec 13 @ BYU 53-100 Won Tue, Dec 16 vs Stanton 95-70 Lost Sat, Dec 20 @ St. Thomas 78-92 Tue, Dec 23 @ UCLA Thu, Jan 01 vs Hawai'i Thu, Jan 08 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Jan 10 vs UC San Diego |
1
UC Riverside Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 5 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
UC Riverside Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 26% |
| CSU Northridge | 1 CSU Northridge Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ UC Irvine 71-85 Won Wed, Dec 10 vs Fresno St. 89-87 Won Sat, Dec 13 @ Blue Hens 88-66 Won Fri, Dec 19 vs La Sierra 88-53 Mon, Dec 22 vs Sacram. St. Sat, Dec 27 @ Stanford Thu, Jan 01 @ UC Davis Sat, Jan 03 vs UCSB |
1
CSU Northridge Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 6 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
CSU Northridge Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 19% |
| Cal Poly | 1 Cal Poly Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs UC Riverside 84-88 Lost Tue, Dec 16 vs Montana St. 80-83 Lost Fri, Dec 19 @ UCLA 87-108 Lost Sun, Dec 21 vs Idaho 80-83 Thu, Jan 01 vs UC San Diego Sat, Jan 03 @ Long Beach St. Thu, Jan 08 @ CSU Northridge Sat, Jan 10 vs UC Davis |
1
Cal Poly Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 7 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
Cal Poly Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 46% |
| UC Davis | 0 UC Davis Recent Games Lost Thu, Dec 04 @ Hawai'i 69-75 Lost Sat, Dec 13 @ Oregon 62-104 Lost Wed, Dec 17 vs Seattle 78-79 Won Sun, Dec 21 @ Idaho St. 93-83 Sun, Dec 28 vs Pacific Union Thu, Jan 01 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Jan 03 vs CSU Bakersfield Thu, Jan 08 @ UCSB |
1
UC Davis Remaining Games Venue SOS - 53% SOS Rank - 2 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
1
UC Davis Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 13% |
| CSU Fullerton | 0 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ Hawai'i 59-69 Won Wed, Dec 10 vs Bethesda University 116-66 Won Sat, Dec 13 @ Denver 105-86 Lost Sun, Dec 21 @ Oklahoma St. 89-94 Sun, Dec 28 @ SMU Thu, Jan 01 vs UCSB Sat, Jan 03 vs UC Irvine Thu, Jan 08 @ UC San Diego |
2
CSU Fullerton Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 8 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
CSU Fullerton Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 49% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ UCSB 84-109 Lost Thu, Dec 11 vs North Dakota St. 69-80 Lost Sat, Dec 13 vs Pepperd. 62-70 Won Thu, Dec 18 vs Nobel 97-66 Tue, Dec 23 vs Idaho Thu, Jan 01 vs UC Irvine Sat, Jan 03 @ UC Davis Thu, Jan 08 vs UC Riverside |
2
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 9 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 63% |
| Long Beach St. | 0 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 06 vs UC San Diego 74-80 Lost Tue, Dec 09 @ San José State 83-89 Won Thu, Dec 18 vs Pepperd. 81-78 Lost Sun, Dec 21 @ Iowa St. 60-91 Tue, Dec 30 vs Lincoln University (CA) Sat, Jan 03 vs Cal Poly Thu, Jan 08 @ UC Irvine Sat, Jan 10 vs CSU Bakersfield |
2
Long Beach St. Remaining Games Venue SOS - 47% SOS Rank - 11 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
2
Long Beach St. Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 67% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 10% | ||
| (5)UC Riverside | 1 | 1 | 6% |
| (6)CSU Northridge | 1 | 1 | 6% |
| (8)UC Davis | 0 | 1 | 6% |
| (9)CSU Fullerton | 0 | 2 | 5% |
| (3)UCSB | 2 | 0 | 5% |
| (1)UC Irvine | 2 | 0 | 5% |
| (10)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 0 | 2 | 3% |
| (11)Long Beach St. | 0 | 2 | 3% |
| (2)Hawai'i | 2 | 0 | 3% |
| (4)UC San Diego | 1 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | 46% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CSU Fullerton (5‑8) |
94‑91 | Away | Thu Dec 4, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | UC Riverside (6‑7) |
84‑88 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | UC San Diego (10‑2) |
Home | Thu Jan 1, 10:00 pm | |
| 9 | Long Beach St. (3‑10) |
Away | Sat Jan 3, 9:00 pm | |
| 10 | CSU Northridge (7‑5) |
Away | Thu Jan 8, 10:00 pm | |
| 10 | UC Davis (6‑5) |
Home | Sat Jan 10, 5:00 pm | |
| 11 | Hawai'i (10‑2) |
Home | Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm | |
| 12 | UCSB (8‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm | |
| 12 | CSU Fullerton (5‑8) |
Home | Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (5‑8) |
Away | Thu Jan 29, 9:30 pm | |
| 13 | UC Riverside (6‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | CSU Northridge (7‑5) |
Home | Thu Feb 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | UC Davis (6‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 5:00 pm | |
| 15 | UC Irvine (8‑5) |
Home | Thu Feb 12, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | UCSB (8‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawai'i (10‑2) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 11:59 pm | |
| 17 | Long Beach St. (3‑10) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | UC San Diego (10‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | UC Irvine (8‑5) |
Away | Thu Mar 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (5‑8) |
Home | Sat Mar 7, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC (12‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 64‑94 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Pacific Lutheran | ‑‑ | 101‑79 | Home | Wed Nov 5 |
| 1 | Seattle (10‑2) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑71 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Colorado St. (8‑3) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 79‑93 | Away | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Montana (6‑7) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 82‑90 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Utah (8‑4) |
Big 12Big 12 | 92‑85 | Away | Thu Nov 20, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Northern Arizona (5‑7) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑93 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | SE Missouri St. (5‑7) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 68‑84 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Redlands | ‑‑ | 87‑81 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Montana St. (5‑7) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 | Home | Tue Dec 16, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | UCLA (9‑3) |
Big 10Big 10 | 87‑108 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Idaho (8‑4) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 (OT) | Home | Sun Dec 21, 7:00 pm |