The Most Important Games for the Liberty Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Liberty Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Liberty Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Liberty (11‑3) vs Louisiana Tech (9‑6) |
4 | Liberty Wins | 41% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 37% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 29% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| UTEP (4‑10) vs Middle Tenn. (9‑5) |
1 | UTEP Wins | 40% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 37% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | <1% | <1% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| FIU (9‑5) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (7‑7) |
0 | FIU Wins | 37% | 22% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 37% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Delaware (5‑9) vs Sam Houston (8‑6) |
0 | Delaware Wins | 37% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 37% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Sam Houston Wins | <1% | <1% | 37% | 22% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Missouri St. (9‑5) vs Kennesaw St. (8‑6) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | 36% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 37% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Western Kentucky (9‑5) vs New Mexico St. (8‑5) |
0 | Western Kentucky Wins | 37% | 22% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 37% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||