The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico St. (4‑6) vs Sam Houston (5‑5) |
11 | New Mexico St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Sam Houston Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 25% | ||
| Louisiana Tech (9‑2) vs UTEP (6‑3) |
1 | Louisiana Tech Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | ||
| UTEP Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 23% | ||
| Western Kentucky (7‑3) vs Liberty (10‑1) |
0 | Western Kentucky Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Liberty Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (7‑3) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (6‑4) |
0 | Kennesaw St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 23% | ||
| FIU (4‑6) vs Middle Tenn. (7‑3) |
0 | FIU Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 22% | ||