The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| New Mexico St. (13‑13) vs Western Kentucky (16‑11) |
42 | New Mexico St. Wins | X | X | 1% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 22% | 17% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 31% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 19% | 24% | 39% | ||
| Middle Tenn. (13‑14) vs UTEP (10‑17) |
9 | Middle Tenn. Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 31% | ||
| UTEP Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 38% | ||
| Sam Houston (19‑8) vs FIU (13‑14) |
5 | Sam Houston Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 20% | 20% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 31% | ||
| FIU Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 15% | 27% | 34% | ||
| Liberty (23‑4) vs Kennesaw St. (16‑11) |
2 | Liberty Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 31% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 21% | 31% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (13‑14) vs Delaware (9‑18) |
1 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 31% | ||
| Delaware Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 34% | ||
| Missouri St. (13‑14) vs Louisiana Tech (15‑12) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 31% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | X | X | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 31% | ||