PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Nov 8 8:30 pm

Conference USA Football - Week 11 of 14

Kennesaw St. What If?

The Kennesaw St. Owls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Kennesaw St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Kennesaw St. What If?

Next Game - Jacksonville St. (6‑3)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Win Next Game 6 0 77% 19% 3% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 5 0 47% 26% 20% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 5 1 6% 39% 43% 11% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Best Case Scenario 92% 8% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 47% 26% 20% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario 6% 36% 39% 18% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Kennesaw St. beats Jacksonville St.
   Middle Tenn. St. beats W. Kentucky
   Florida Intl. beats Liberty
Worst Case Scenario
   Jacksonville St. beats Kennesaw St.
   W. Kentucky beats Middle Tenn. St.
   Liberty beats Florida Intl.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
3 of 3 100% 8 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 7 1 56% 36% 8% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 3 33% 6 2 6% 37% 51% 7% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 3 0% 5 3 X 2% 44% 48% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant