PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 18 8:30 am

Conference USA Football - Week 4 of 13

Louisiana Tech What If?

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Louisiana Tech plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Louisiana Tech What If?

Next Game - UTEP (1‑3)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participate
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participate
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Win Next Game 1 0 7% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 9% 8% 6%
Current Standings 0 0 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 12%
Lose Next Game 0 1 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 11% 13% 17%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
Conference Championship
Game Participate
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participate
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Best Case Scenario 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 12%
Current Standings 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 12%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 11% 13%
Best Case Scenario
   Florida Intl. beats W. Kentucky
Worst Case Scenario
   W. Kentucky beats Florida Intl.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participate
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participate
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
8 of 8 100% 8 0 95% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 7 1 68% 28% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 6 2 15% 44% 32% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 8 63% 5 3 <1% 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
4 of 8 50% 4 4 <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 38% 23% 6% <1% <1% <1%
3 of 8 38% 3 5 X X X <1% <1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% <1%
2 of 8 25% 2 6 X X X X X <1% 1% 9% 29% 44% 18%
1 of 8 13% 1 7 X X X X X X X <1% 3% 21% 76%
0 of 8 0% 0 8 X X X X X X X X X 1% 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participate