The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Louisiana Tech plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 14% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 10% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 5% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||||||||||
| Best Case Scenario | 14% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||||||||||
| Current Standings | 10% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||||||||||
| Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 1% | ||||||||||
|
Best Case Scenario Louisiana Tech beats W. Kentucky |
Worst Case Scenario W. Kentucky beats Louisiana Tech |
||||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 7 | 1 | 79% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 19% | 55% | 22% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 12% | 43% | 35% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 3% | 27% | 42% | 25% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | 1% | 11% | 36% | 41% | 10% | <1% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 28% | 54% | 14% |