The Sam Houston Bearkats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Sam Houston plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 1 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 26% | 44% |
Current Standings | 0 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 29% | 59% |
Lose Next Game | 0 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 29% | 61% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 29% | 59% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
4 of 4 | 100% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 26% | 32% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
3 of 4 | 75% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 37% | 18% | 1% |
2 of 4 | 50% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 52% | 24% |
1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 82% |
0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |