The W. Kentucky Hilltoppers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how W. Kentucky plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 21% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||||||||||
| Best Case Scenario | 21% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||||||||||
| Current Standings | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||||||||||
| Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||||||||||
|
Best Case Scenario W. Kentucky beats Louisiana Tech |
Worst Case Scenario Louisiana Tech beats W. Kentucky |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 82% | 17% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 19% | 55% | 23% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 14% | 44% | 33% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 4% | 26% | 42% | 24% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 34% | 43% | 12% | 1% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 22% | 54% | 21% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 20% | 79% |