The W. Kentucky Hilltoppers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how W. Kentucky plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 21% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||||||||||
Best Case Scenario | 21% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||||||||||
Current Standings | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ||||||||||
Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||||||||||
Best Case Scenario W. Kentucky beats Louisiana Tech |
Worst Case Scenario Louisiana Tech beats W. Kentucky |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 82% | 17% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 19% | 55% | 23% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 14% | 44% | 33% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 4% | 26% | 42% | 24% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 34% | 43% | 12% | 1% |
1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 22% | 54% | 21% |
0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 20% | 79% |