The Most Important Games for the Brown Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Brown Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Brown Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (4‑19‑1) vs Harvard (13‑10‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 39% | 29% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 23% | 28% | 47% | ||
| Dartmouth (17‑6‑1) vs Yale (7‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 26% | 27% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 28% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Colgate (11‑14‑3) vs Union (16‑10‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 28% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Union Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Cornell (17‑6) vs Rensselaer (7‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 28% | 27% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 33% | 48% | ||
| Quinnipiac (22‑5‑3) vs Princeton (14‑9‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Brown Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (4‑19‑1) vs Harvard (13‑10‑1) |
0 | Brown Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 39% | 29% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Harvard Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 23% | 28% | 47% | ||
| Dartmouth (17‑6‑1) vs Yale (7‑17) |
0 | Dartmouth Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 26% | 27% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Yale Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 28% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Colgate (11‑14‑3) vs Union (16‑10‑2) |
0 | Colgate Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 28% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Union Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Cornell (17‑6) vs Rensselaer (7‑21) |
0 | Cornell Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 28% | 27% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Rensselaer Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 33% | 48% | ||
| Quinnipiac (22‑5‑3) vs Princeton (14‑9‑1) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||
| Princeton Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 27% | 28% | 42% | ||