The Most Important Games for the Brown Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Brown Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Brown Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (0‑3) vs Cornell (2‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 24% | ||
| Colgate (2‑8) vs Yale (2‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 22% | ||
| Dartmouth (4‑0) vs Quinnipiac (7‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 22% | ||
| Princeton (2‑2) vs Harvard (3‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 22% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Brown Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Brown (0‑3) vs Cornell (2‑2) |
7 | Brown Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Cornell Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 24% | ||
| Colgate (2‑8) vs Yale (2‑1) |
1 | Colgate Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Yale Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 22% | ||
| Dartmouth (4‑0) vs Quinnipiac (7‑2) |
0 | Dartmouth Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 22% | ||
| Princeton (2‑2) vs Harvard (3‑2) |
0 | Princeton Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Harvard Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 22% | ||