The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
Harvard (7‑13‑2) vs St. Lawrence (8‑18‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
14 | Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 33% | 21% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 25% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
Quinnipiac (17‑10‑2) vs Union (16‑9‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Union Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 30% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Rensselaer (10‑16‑2) vs Princeton (10‑11‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 32% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Yale (6‑15‑2) vs Brown (10‑10‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yale Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 32% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Brown Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 28% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
Clarkson (16‑9‑3) vs Dartmouth (12‑9‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
Harvard (7‑13‑2) vs St. Lawrence (8‑18‑2) |
14 | Harvard Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 33% | 21% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
St. Lawrence Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 25% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
Quinnipiac (17‑10‑2) vs Union (16‑9‑3) |
2 | Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 30% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Rensselaer (10‑16‑2) vs Princeton (10‑11‑2) |
1 | Rensselaer Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 32% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Princeton Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Yale (6‑15‑2) vs Brown (10‑10‑2) |
1 | Yale Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 32% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Brown Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 28% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
Clarkson (16‑9‑3) vs Dartmouth (12‑9‑2) |
0 | Clarkson Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 30% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
Dartmouth Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||