The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (12‑10‑1) vs Brown (4‑19‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
39 | Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 11% | 55% | 26% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brown Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 3% | 42% | 35% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Quinnipiac (22‑5‑3) vs Princeton (14‑9‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
24 | Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 8% | 57% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 13% | 38% | 36% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Union (16‑10‑2) vs Colgate (11‑14‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
8 | Union Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 9% | 54% | 28% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 9% | 49% | 28% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dartmouth (17‑6‑1) vs Yale (7‑17) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 9% | 53% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 11% | 50% | 27% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cornell (17‑6) vs Rensselaer (7‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 9% | 53% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 3% | 11% | 48% | 27% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (12‑10‑1) vs Brown (4‑19‑1) |
39 | Harvard Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 55% | 26% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brown Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 42% | 35% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Quinnipiac (22‑5‑3) vs Princeton (14‑9‑1) |
24 | Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 57% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Princeton Wins | <1% | 2% | 13% | 38% | 36% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Union (16‑10‑2) vs Colgate (11‑14‑3) |
8 | Union Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 54% | 28% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colgate Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 49% | 28% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dartmouth (17‑6‑1) vs Yale (7‑17) |
1 | Dartmouth Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 53% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Yale Wins | <1% | 2% | 11% | 50% | 27% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cornell (17‑6) vs Rensselaer (7‑21) |
0 | Cornell Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 53% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 9% | 52% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rensselaer Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 48% | 27% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||