The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (3‑2) vs Princeton (2‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
18 | Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colgate (2‑8) vs Yale (2‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Brown (0‑3) vs Cornell (2‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac (7‑2) vs Dartmouth (4‑0) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (3‑2) vs Princeton (2‑2) |
18 | Harvard Wins | 11% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Princeton Wins | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Colgate (2‑8) vs Yale (2‑1) |
1 | Colgate Wins | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Yale Wins | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Brown (0‑3) vs Cornell (2‑2) |
1 | Brown Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Cornell Wins | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac (7‑2) vs Dartmouth (4‑0) |
1 | Quinnipiac Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Dartmouth Wins | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||