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Sun Nov 16 8:30 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 8 of 22

Harvard Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Harvard Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Harvard Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Clarkson
(4‑8)
vs
Quinnipiac
(7‑3‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 3 Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game 11% 20% 20% 15% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Brown
(1‑5)
vs
Yale
(2‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Brown Sweeps 1 Game 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game 11% 18% 20% 15% 12% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(2‑9‑1)
vs
Princeton
(3‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 2 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Union
(8‑2‑1)
vs
Cornell
(4‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Union Sweeps 1 Game 12% 19% 18% 15% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Cornell Sweeps 1 Game 11% 18% 20% 15% 13% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Colgate
(4‑7‑1)
vs
Rensselaer
(3‑9)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game 11% 19% 20% 16% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game 11% 18% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%


Harvard Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Harvard Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Clarkson
(4‑8)
vs
Quinnipiac
(7‑3‑2)		 3 Clarkson Wins 11% 20% 20% 15% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac Wins 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Brown
(1‑5)
vs
Yale
(2‑3)		 2 Brown Wins 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Yale Wins 11% 18% 20% 15% 12% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(2‑9‑1)
vs
Princeton
(3‑2)		 2 St. Lawrence Wins 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Princeton Wins 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Union
(8‑2‑1)
vs
Cornell
(4‑2)		 1 Union Wins 12% 19% 18% 15% 12% 9% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Cornell Wins 11% 18% 20% 15% 13% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Colgate
(4‑7‑1)
vs
Rensselaer
(3‑9)		 1 Colgate Wins 11% 19% 20% 16% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 11% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins 11% 18% 20% 15% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament