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Tue Feb 10 3:45 am

ECAC Hockey - Week 20 of 22

Yale Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Yale Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Yale Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Yale Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Yale Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Yale
(7‑17)
vs
Dartmouth
(17‑6‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 4 Yale Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 27% 41% 6% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game X X X <1% <1% 1% 10% 23% 45% 14% 5% <1%
Colgate
(11‑14‑3)
vs
Union
(16‑10‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 2 Colgate Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 25% 40% 12% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Union Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 23% 47% 13% 5% <1%
Cornell
(17‑6)
vs
Rensselaer
(7‑21)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 24% 46% 11% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 22% 37% 20% 6% <1%
Brown
(4‑19‑1)
vs
Harvard
(13‑10‑1)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Brown Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 23% 42% 13% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Harvard Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 23% 45% 12% 4% <1%
Princeton
(14‑9‑1)
vs
Quinnipiac
(22‑5‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Princeton Sweeps 1 Game X X X <1% <1% 2% 13% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%


Yale Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Yale Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Yale
(7‑17)
vs
Dartmouth
(17‑6‑1)		 4 Yale Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 27% 41% 6% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Dartmouth Wins X X X <1% <1% 1% 10% 23% 45% 14% 5% <1%
Colgate
(11‑14‑3)
vs
Union
(16‑10‑2)		 2 Colgate Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 25% 40% 12% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Union Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 23% 47% 13% 5% <1%
Cornell
(17‑6)
vs
Rensselaer
(7‑21)		 0 Cornell Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 24% 46% 11% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Rensselaer Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 22% 37% 20% 6% <1%
Brown
(4‑19‑1)
vs
Harvard
(13‑10‑1)		 0 Brown Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 23% 42% 13% 5% 1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Harvard Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 23% 45% 12% 4% <1%
Princeton
(14‑9‑1)
vs
Quinnipiac
(22‑5‑3)		 0 Princeton Wins X X X <1% <1% 2% 13% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
Quinnipiac Wins X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 24% 44% 12% 4% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament