The Most Important Games for the Massachusetts Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Massachusetts Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| MassachusettsMass. (8‑7‑2) vs Boston University (8‑6‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Maine (12‑2‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑4‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 14% | ||
| Merrimack (4‑10‑1) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑7‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (8‑7‑1) vs New Hampshire (7‑4‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| MassachusettsMass. (8‑7‑2) vs Boston University (8‑6‑1) |
9 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Merrimack (4‑10‑1) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑7‑3) |
1 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| Maine (12‑2‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑4‑2) |
1 | Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (8‑7‑1) vs New Hampshire (7‑4‑2) |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | ||