The Most Important Games for the Massachusetts Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Massachusetts Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| MassachusettsMass. (4‑4‑1) vs Maine (4‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
26 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Maine Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Boston College (2‑5‑1) vs Vermont (5‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (4‑4‑1) vs Providence (5‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (2‑6) vs New Hampshire (3‑4‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Massachusetts Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| MassachusettsMass. (4‑4‑1) vs Maine (4‑4) |
12 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Maine Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Boston College (2‑5‑1) vs Vermont (5‑3) |
2 | Boston College Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (4‑4‑1) vs Providence (5‑2) |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Providence Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (2‑6) vs New Hampshire (3‑4‑1) |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 3% | ||