PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 10:15 pm

Hockey East - Week 19 of 23

Massachusetts What If?

The Massachusetts Minutemen What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Massachusetts plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Massachusetts What If?

Next Game - Providence (12‑9‑6)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Win Next Game 3 1 4 8 15 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 10% 22% 40% 21% 2%
Current Standings 2 1 4 8 12 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 19% 39% 27% 5%
Lose Next Game 2 2 4 8 12 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17% 40% 31% 6%


Current Series - Providence (12‑9‑6) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Massachusetts Sweeps 3 1 4 8 15 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 10% 22% 40% 21% 2%
Current Standings 2 1 4 8 12 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 19% 39% 27% 5%
Providence Sweeps 2 2 4 8 12 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17% 40% 31% 6%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Current Standings X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 7% 19% 39% 27% 5%
Best Case Scenario
None
Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
9 of 9 100% 11 1 4 8 39 X <1% <1% 3% 31% 61% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 10 2 4 8 36 X <1% <1% <1% 4% 61% 31% 4% <1% ^ ^
7 of 9 78% 9 3 4 8 33 X X X <1% <1% 20% 48% 29% 2% <1% <1%
6 of 9 67% 8 4 4 8 30 X X X X <1% 2% 20% 57% 21% <1% <1%
5 of 9 56% 7 5 4 8 27 X X X X X <1% 1% 34% 59% 6% <1%
4 of 9 44% 6 6 4 8 24 X X X X X X <1% 6% 63% 30% <1%
3 of 9 33% 5 7 4 8 21 X X X X X X X <1% 30% 65% 5%
2 of 9 22% 4 8 4 8 18 X X X X X X X X 4% 76% 19%
1 of 9 11% 3 9 4 8 15 X X X X X X X X X 58% 42%
0 of 9 0% 2 10 4 8 12 X X X X X X X X X 32% 68%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament