The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (5‑8) vs ConnecticutUConn (7‑5‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
14 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 19% | ||
| Vermont (4‑8) vs Boston University (7‑7‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 16% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑4) vs MassachusettsMass. (8‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑8) vs Boston College (8‑5‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 16% | ||
| Maine (8‑5‑1) vs New Hampshire (7‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 18% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (5‑8) vs ConnecticutUConn (7‑5‑3) |
14 | Merrimack Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 19% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑4) vs MassachusettsMass. (8‑8) |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Vermont (4‑8) vs Boston University (7‑7‑1) |
1 | Vermont Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| New Hampshire (7‑7) vs Maine (8‑5‑1) |
1 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑8) vs Boston College (8‑5‑1) |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 16% | ||