The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑17) vs MassachusettsMass. (16‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Providence (16‑7‑2) vs New Hampshire (11‑13‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 2% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑12) vs ConnecticutUConn (15‑7‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Maine (14‑10‑2) vs Boston University (12‑13‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Maine Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Boston College (15‑8‑1) vs Vermont (11‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑17) vs MassachusettsMass. (16‑10) |
4 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Providence (16‑7‑2) vs New Hampshire (11‑13‑1) |
2 | Providence Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 2% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑12) vs ConnecticutUConn (15‑7‑3) |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Maine (14‑10‑2) vs Boston University (12‑13‑1) |
0 | Maine Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Boston College (15‑8‑1) vs Vermont (11‑14) |
0 | Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Vermont Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||