The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (5‑10‑1) vs Boston College (12‑3‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 35% | ||
| Vermont (6‑8‑3) vs Boston University (9‑6‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 34% | ||
| Maine (12‑2‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑4‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 36% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (8‑8‑2) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑8‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 36% | ||
| New Hampshire (7‑4‑3) vs ConnecticutUConn (8‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 36% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (5‑10‑1) vs Boston College (12‑3‑1) |
3 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 35% | ||
| Maine (12‑2‑2) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (10‑4‑2) |
0 | Maine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| Vermont (6‑8‑3) vs Boston University (9‑6‑1) |
0 | Vermont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 35% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (8‑8‑2) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑8‑3) |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 36% | ||
| New Hampshire (7‑4‑3) vs ConnecticutUConn (8‑7‑1) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 35% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 36% | ||