The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑3) vs Boston University (5‑6‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 16% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (7‑6) vs Providence (5‑4‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Boston College (6‑4‑1) vs Maine (7‑4‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Boston College Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | ||
| New Hampshire (5‑6) vs ConnecticutUConn (6‑4‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑3) vs Boston University (5‑6‑1) |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 16% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (7‑6) vs Providence (5‑4‑2) |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Providence Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Maine (7‑4‑1) vs Boston College (6‑4‑1) |
0 | Maine Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Boston College Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | ||
| New Hampshire (5‑6) vs ConnecticutUConn (6‑4‑2) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 15% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | ||