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Sat Feb 8 10:30 pm

Hockey East - Week 20 of 23

Merrimack Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Merrimack Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Merrimack
(12‑15‑1)

vs
Vermont
(10‑13‑3)

2 Games Remaining
27 Merrimack Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% 1% 8% 19% 25% 33% 12% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
Vermont Sweeps 2 Games X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 13% 24% 30% 24% 1%
Boston University
(15‑10‑1)

vs
Providence
(16‑7‑5)

1 Game Remaining
3 Boston University Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 5% 11% 17% 25% 20% 14% 8% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
Providence Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 15% 28% 21% 14% 8% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern
(9‑13‑3)

vs
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(14‑10‑3)

1 Game Remaining
3 NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 5% 10% 15% 25% 19% 14% 9% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 16% 28% 22% 13% 6% <1%
Boston College
(21‑4‑1)

vs
MassachusettsMass.
(15‑11‑2)

1 Game Remaining
2 Boston College Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 28% 20% 13% 8% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 14% 22% 24% 16% 9% 1%
Maine
(18‑5‑4)

vs
New Hampshire
(11‑12‑3)

2 Games Remaining
1 Maine Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 28% 21% 14% 7% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
New Hampshire Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% 4% 9% 16% 27% 20% 13% 8% 2%


Merrimack Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Merrimack
(12‑15‑1)

vs
Vermont
(10‑13‑3)
14 Merrimack Wins <1% <1% 1% 5% 13% 20% 32% 19% 7% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
Vermont Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 11% 24% 25% 21% 13% 1%
Boston University
(15‑10‑1)

vs
Providence
(16‑7‑5)
3 Boston University Wins <1% <1% <1% 5% 11% 17% 25% 20% 14% 8% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
Providence Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 15% 28% 21% 14% 8% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern
(9‑13‑3)

vs
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(14‑10‑3)
3 NortheasternN. Eastern Wins <1% <1% 1% 5% 10% 15% 25% 19% 14% 9% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 16% 28% 22% 13% 6% <1%
Boston College
(21‑4‑1)

vs
MassachusettsMass.
(15‑11‑2)
2 Boston College Wins <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 28% 20% 13% 8% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
MassachusettsMass. Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 14% 22% 24% 16% 9% 1%
New Hampshire
(11‑12‑3)

vs
Maine
(18‑5‑4)
0 New Hampshire Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 13% 7% 1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
Maine Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% 10% 16% 27% 21% 14% 8% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament