The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
Merrimack (12‑15‑1) vs Vermont (10‑13‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
27 | Merrimack Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 25% | 33% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
Vermont Sweeps 2 Games | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 30% | 24% | 1% | ||
Boston University (15‑10‑1) vs Providence (16‑7‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 8% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
Providence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑13‑3) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (14‑10‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 6% | <1% | ||
Boston College (21‑4‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (15‑11‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 28% | 20% | 13% | 8% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 1% | ||
Maine (18‑5‑4) vs New Hampshire (11‑12‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 7% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
New Hampshire Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 2% | ||
Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
Merrimack (12‑15‑1) vs Vermont (10‑13‑3) |
14 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 20% | 32% | 19% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
Vermont Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 1% | ||
Boston University (15‑10‑1) vs Providence (16‑7‑5) |
3 | Boston University Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 8% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
Providence Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑13‑3) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (14‑10‑3) |
3 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 6% | <1% | ||
Boston College (21‑4‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (15‑11‑2) |
2 | Boston College Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 28% | 20% | 13% | 8% | <1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 1% | ||
New Hampshire (11‑12‑3) vs Maine (18‑5‑4) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% |
Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||
Maine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | <1% | ||