The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (7‑10) vs Vermont (5‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
11 | Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 25% | ||
| Maine (11‑7‑1) vs Providence (8‑6‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Maine Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| Providence Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑11) vs ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 19% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (9‑9) vs Boston University (9‑8‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 19% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Merrimack (7‑10) vs Vermont (5‑10) |
11 | Merrimack Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| Vermont Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 25% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑11) vs ConnecticutUConn (9‑5‑3) |
0 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 19% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. (9‑9) vs Boston University (9‑8‑1) |
0 | MassachusettsMass. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| Boston University Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 19% | ||
| Providence (8‑6‑2) vs Maine (11‑7‑1) |
0 | Providence Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 20% | ||
| Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 20% | ||