Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| Boston University | 11i Boston University Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 27 vs Boston College 6-3 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Boston College 3-1 Fri, Feb 03 @ Maine |
2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 81% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 10 Northeastern Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 20 @ Merrimack 5-1 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Merrimack 1-0 Tue, Jan 31 vs Boston College |
1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 10% | 34% | 21% | 18% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Merrimack | 10 Merrimack Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ N. Eastern 0-1 Won Fri, Jan 27 @ Vermont 4-2 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Vermont 1-2 Fri, Feb 03 @ New Hampshire |
1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 5% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 26% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| ConnecticutUConn | 7 Connecticut Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 27 @ Yale 6-1 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Quinnipiac 3-4 Fri, Feb 03 @ N. Eastern |
5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 1% | 20% | 30% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 7 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 21 @ New Hampshire 3-2 Won Fri, Jan 27 vs Massachusetts 1-0 Fri, Feb 03 vs Boston College |
3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 3% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Providence | 5 Providence Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 @ Princeton 2-3 Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Maine 2-3 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Maine 0-3 Fri, Feb 03 vs Massachusetts |
4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 28% | 34% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston College | 5 Boston College Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Boston University 3-6 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Boston University 1-3 Tue, Jan 31 @ N. Eastern |
1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 18% | 24% | 31% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
| Maine | 5 Maine Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 20 @ Boston University 1-5 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Boston University 6-9 Won Fri, Jan 27 vs Provid. 3-2 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Provid. 3-0 Fri, Feb 03 vs Boston University |
1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 18 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 23% | 23% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| Vermont | 2 Vermont Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 20 @ Boston College 1-1 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Boston College 3-2 Lost Fri, Jan 27 vs Merrimack 2-4 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Merrimack 2-1 Sun, Feb 05 vs Provid. |
3 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 28% | 48% | 20% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 2 Massachusetts Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ UConn 1-3 Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Mass.-Lowell 0-1 Fri, Feb 03 @ Provid. |
1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 39% | 27% | 5% |
| New Hampshire | 2 New Hampshire Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 20 @ Mass.-Lowell 2-6 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Mass.-Lowell 2-3 Fri, Feb 03 vs Merrimack |
0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 75% |
| Record | Total | Home (10%) |
Away (<1%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 90% | |||||||
| (11)New Hampshire | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 6% | 6% | <1% |
| (9)Vermont | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (10)MassachusettsMass. | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (8)Maine | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (7)Boston College | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (6)Providence | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (2)NortheasternN. Eastern | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 34 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (4)ConnecticutUConn | 7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 32 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (5)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (1)Boston University | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 38 | <1% | X | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New Hampshire (7‑18‑1) |
6‑1 | Home | Tue Oct 18 |
| 5 | MassachusettsMass. (9‑13‑3) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Oct 28 |
| 5 | MassachusettsMass. (9‑13‑3) |
2‑1 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 29 |
| 6 | Boston College (9‑9‑5) |
3‑1 | Home | Thu Nov 3 |
| 6 | Boston College (9‑9‑5) |
5‑2 | Away | Sat Nov 5 |
| 7 | Maine (11‑12‑2) |
1‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 11 |
| 7 | Maine (11‑12‑2) |
5‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 12 |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (16‑8‑3) |
1‑3 | Home | Tue Nov 29 |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (16‑8‑3) |
7‑3 | Away | Fri Dec 2 |
| 11 | MassachusettsMass. (9‑13‑3) |
2‑1 | Away | Wed Dec 7, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Providence (12‑9‑6) |
3‑2 | Away | Sat Dec 10, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Providence (12‑9‑6) |
3‑8 | Home | Fri Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Providence (12‑9‑6) |
3‑0 | Home | Sat Jan 14, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑9‑3) |
1‑5 | Home | Fri Jan 20, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑9‑3) |
0‑1 | Away | Sat Jan 21, 7:30 pm |
| 18 | Vermont (9‑14‑3) |
4‑2 | Away | Fri Jan 27, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | Vermont (9‑14‑3) |
1‑2 (OT) | Away | Sat Jan 28, 7:00 pm |
| 19 | New Hampshire (7‑18‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Maine (11‑12‑2) |
Away | Sun Feb 5, 2:00 pm | |
| 21 | Boston University (19‑6) |
Home | Fri Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Boston University (19‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 18, 6:00 pm | |
| 22 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (15‑9‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 24, 7:15 pm | |
| 22 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (15‑9‑1) |
Home | Sat Feb 25, 7:00 pm | |
| 23 | Vermont (9‑14‑3) |
Home | Sat Mar 4, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | St. Lawrence (12‑13) |
ECACECAC | 1‑3 | Away | Fri Oct 7 |
| 2 | Clarkson (11‑11‑3) |
ECACECAC | 3‑2 | Away | Sat Oct 8 |
| 4 | Colgate (13‑11‑2) |
ECACECAC | 5‑0 | Home | Fri Oct 21 |
| 4 | Colgate (13‑11‑2) |
ECACECAC | 3‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 22 |
| 8 | Sacred Heart (12‑10‑2) |
AtlanticAtlantic | 3‑0 | Away | Thu Nov 17 |
| 9 | Holy Cross (8‑15‑3) |
AtlanticAtlantic | 5‑1 | Home | Tue Nov 22 |
| 14 | Dartmouth (4‑17‑1) |
ECACECAC | 3‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Dec 30, 7:30 pm |
| 14 | Providence (12‑9‑6) |
EastEast | 1‑6 | Away | Sat Dec 31, 4:00 pm |
| 15 | Yale (3‑13‑4) |
ECACECAC | 3‑3 (OT) | Home | Fri Jan 6, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Brown (8‑11‑2) |
ECACECAC | 2‑6 | Home | Sat Jan 7, 7:00 pm |