Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| Providence | 9i Providence Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Boston University 4-0 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Maine 3-2 Fri, Feb 06 @ New Hampshire |
2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 71% | 24% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Boston College | 10 Boston College Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 30 @ Boston University 4-1 Won Mon, Feb 02 @ Harvard 5-1 Fri, Feb 06 vs Vermont |
0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 23% | 48% | 19% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ConnecticutUConn | 8 Connecticut Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Yale 5-2 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Quinnipiac 4-2 Fri, Feb 06 @ N. Eastern |
2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 5% | 16% | 30% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 7 Massachusetts Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 30 vs N. Eastern 3-2 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Mass.-Lowell 6-4 Fri, Feb 06 @ Mass.-Lowell Sat, Feb 07 vs Mass.-Lowell |
2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 1% | 11% | 29% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Boston University | 6 Boston University Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Provid. 0-4 Lost Fri, Jan 30 vs Boston College 1-4 Mon, Feb 02 @ N. Eastern |
2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 6 Northeastern Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Merrimack 1-4 Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ Merrimack 1-3 Lost Fri, Jan 30 @ Massachusetts 2-3 Mon, Feb 02 vs Boston University |
1 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 23 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| Merrimack | 7 Merrimack Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 30 vs New Hampshire 2-1 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ New Hampshire 3-3 Tue, Feb 03 @ Stonehill |
0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 23 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Maine | 5 Maine Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Mass.-Lowell 2-0 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Mass.-Lowell 6-5 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Provid. 2-3 Fri, Feb 06 @ Boston University |
3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Vermont | 6 Vermont Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Massachusetts 0-4 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Massachusetts 0-1 Won Fri, Jan 30 vs Stonehill 3-2 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Stonehill 2-0 Fri, Feb 06 @ Boston College |
0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 21% | 23% |
| New Hampshire | 5 New Hampshire Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 30 @ Merrimack 1-2 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Merrimack 3-3 Fri, Feb 06 vs Provid. |
1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 17 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 18% | 31% | 24% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 4 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Maine 0-2 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Maine 5-6 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Massachusetts 4-6 Fri, Feb 06 vs Massachusetts Sat, Feb 07 @ Massachusetts |
1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 22% | 45% |
| Record | Total | Home (53%) |
Away (18%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 28% | |||||||
| (9)Vermont | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 17% | 13% | 4% |
| (11)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 16% | 15% | 2% |
| (10)New Hampshire | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 16% | 14% | 2% |
| (6)NortheasternN. Eastern | 6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| (5)Boston University | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 8% | 3% | 5% |
| (8)Maine | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| (4)MassachusettsMass. | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (3)ConnecticutUConn | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| (2)Boston College | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (1)Providence | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 33 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑17) |
0‑4 | Away | Fri Oct 3 |
| 2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑17) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 10 |
| 3 | New Hampshire (11‑13‑1) |
5‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 18 |
| 5 | ConnecticutUConn (15‑7‑3) |
1‑5 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (12‑13‑1) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (12‑13‑1) |
4‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (16‑7‑2) |
2‑4 | Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (16‑7‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (15‑7‑3) |
0‑3 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (15‑7‑3) |
2‑5 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | Vermont (11‑14) |
5‑4 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (16‑10) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (16‑10) |
1‑3 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑12) |
4‑1 | Home | Thu Jan 22, 4:00 pm |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (12‑12) |
3‑1 | Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | New Hampshire (11‑13‑1) |
2‑1 | Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | New Hampshire (11‑13‑1) |
3‑3 (SO) | Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
| 20 | Boston College (15‑8‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (15‑8‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (14‑10‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (14‑10‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (11‑14) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (11‑14) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (9‑17) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Quinnipiac (20‑5‑3) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (10‑14‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Long Island (10‑14‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 6‑2 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Notre Dame (5‑18‑3) |
Big 10Big 10 | 4‑5 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Dartmouth (16‑6‑1) |
ECACECAC | 0‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Yale (7‑15) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Dec 12, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Long Island (10‑14‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑2 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm |
| 14 | Brown (4‑17‑1) |
ECACECAC | 3‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Holy Cross (12‑12‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 5‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 19 | Stonehill (5‑18‑2) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |