Where are the Merrimack Warriors going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Merrimack standings table presents the probabilities of the Warriors winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| ConnecticutUConn | 4i Connecticut Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs New Hampshire 3-4 Tie Tue, Nov 25 vs Stonehill 3-3 Fri, Dec 05 @ Merrimack |
2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Boston College | 5 Boston College Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Maine 7-3 Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs Maine 0-3 Won Fri, Nov 28 vs N.Dame 5-3 Fri, Dec 05 @ Mass.-Lowell |
0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| NortheasternN. Eastern | 4 Northeastern Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 22 @ Boston University 3-4 Won Sat, Nov 29 vs Brown 4-1 Sat, Dec 06 vs Massachusetts Sun, Dec 07 vs Massachusetts |
0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 33% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Providence | 4 Providence Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 22 @ Massachusetts 5-1 Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Colorado College 2-3 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Colorado College 2-1 Tue, Dec 09 @ Brown |
0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Maine | 4 Maine Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 14 vs Vermont 7-0 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs Vermont 1-2 Lost Fri, Nov 21 @ Boston College 3-7 Won Sat, Nov 22 @ Boston College 3-0 Fri, Dec 05 vs New Hampshire Sat, Dec 06 vs New Hampshire |
1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Boston University | 2 Boston University Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 22 vs N. Eastern 4-3 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Cornell 2-1 Fri, Dec 05 vs Vermont Sat, Dec 06 vs Vermont |
2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Merrimack | 3 Merrimack Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 26 vs N.Dame 4-5 Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Dartmouth 0-1 Fri, Dec 05 vs UConn |
0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 3 Mass.-Lowell Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 vs Clarkson 0-2 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ St. Lawr. 7-3 Fri, Dec 05 vs Boston College |
0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 24% |
| New Hampshire | 3 New Hampshire Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 22 @ UConn 4-3 Won Sat, Nov 29 @ Bentley 3-0 Fri, Dec 05 @ Maine Sat, Dec 06 @ Maine |
0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 9% |
| Vermont | 2 Vermont Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs Harvard 1-5 Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ Dartmouth 2-7 Fri, Dec 05 @ Boston University Sat, Dec 06 @ Boston University |
0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 27% |
| MassachusettsMass. | 1 Massachusetts Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 22 vs Provid. 1-5 Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Army 4-5 Sat, Dec 06 @ N. Eastern Sun, Dec 07 @ N. Eastern |
1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 19% |
| Record | Total | Home (34%) |
Away (50%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 16% | |||||||
| (10)Vermont | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14% | 8% | 6% |
| (8)Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13% | 8% | 5% |
| (11)MassachusettsMass. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13% | 6% | 7% |
| (9)New Hampshire | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12% | 6% | 6% |
| (6)Boston University | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9% | 2% | 7% |
| (4)Providence | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8% | 2% | 6% |
| (1)ConnecticutUConn | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6% | 1% | 5% |
| (5)Maine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4% | 1% | 4% |
| (2)Boston College | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| (3)NortheasternN. Eastern | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3% | <1% | 2% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑8) |
0‑4 | Away | Fri Oct 3 |
| 2 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑8) |
4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 10 |
| 3 | New Hampshire (7‑7) |
5‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 18 |
| 5 | ConnecticutUConn (7‑5‑3) |
1‑5 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 6:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (7‑7‑1) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston University (7‑7‑1) |
4‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (7‑6‑2) |
2‑4 | Away | Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Providence (7‑6‑2) |
3‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (7‑5‑3) |
Home | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 10 | ConnecticutUConn (7‑5‑3) |
Away | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm | |
| 14 | Vermont (4‑8) |
Away | Mon Dec 29, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (8‑8) |
Home | Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | MassachusettsMass. (8‑8) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑4) |
Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | NortheasternN. Eastern (9‑4) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (7‑7) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | New Hampshire (7‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (8‑5‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Boston College (8‑5‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (8‑5‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Maine (8‑5‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (4‑8) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Vermont (4‑8) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (6‑8) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Quinnipiac (11‑3‑2) |
ECACECAC | 4‑1 | Home | Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Long Island (6‑9) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Long Island (6‑9) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 6‑2 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Notre Dame (4‑9‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 4‑5 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Dartmouth (8‑0) |
ECACECAC | 0‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Yale (4‑5) |
ECACECAC | Home | Fri Dec 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Long Island (6‑9) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Home | Sat Dec 13, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Brown (3‑7) |
ECACECAC | Away | Sat Jan 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Holy Cross (9‑6‑1) |
AtlanticAtl. | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Stonehill (1‑13‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |