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Thu Dec 12 12:30 pm

Hockey East - Week 11 of 23

Providence Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Providence Friars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Friars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Providence Friars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Providence Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Maine
(12‑2‑2)

vs
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(10‑4‑2)

2 Games Remaining
1 Maine Sweeps 2 Games 11% 16% 27% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 2 Games 14% 20% 18% 18% 16% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Vermont
(4‑8‑3)

vs
Boston University
(9‑6‑1)

2 Games Remaining
1 Vermont Sweeps 2 Games 13% 19% 25% 18% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Boston University Sweeps 2 Games 11% 18% 23% 18% 15% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
New Hampshire
(7‑4‑2)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(8‑7‑1)

1 Game Remaining
1 New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game 12% 17% 23% 19% 15% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game 12% 18% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Merrimack
(4‑10‑1)

vs
NortheasternN. Eastern
(4‑7‑3)

1 Game Remaining
0 Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game 12% 18% 23% 19% 15% 7% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game 12% 17% 24% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%


Providence Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
New Hampshire
(7‑4‑2)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(8‑7‑1)
1 New Hampshire Wins 12% 17% 23% 19% 15% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Wins 12% 18% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Vermont
(4‑8‑3)

vs
Boston University
(9‑6‑1)
1 Vermont Wins 12% 18% 24% 18% 13% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Boston University Wins 12% 17% 23% 18% 15% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Maine
(12‑2‑2)

vs
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell
(10‑4‑2)
0 Maine Wins 12% 17% 24% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins 13% 19% 20% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Merrimack
(4‑10‑1)

vs
NortheasternN. Eastern
(4‑7‑3)
0 Merrimack Wins 12% 18% 23% 19% 15% 7% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 17% 23% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern Wins 12% 17% 24% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament