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Sun Oct 25 3:15 am

Hockey East - Week 4 of 23

Providence Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Providence Friars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Friars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Providence Friars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Providence Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Merrimack
(4‑1‑1)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(3‑3)

2 Games Remaining
1 Merrimack Sweeps 2 Games 25% 16% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games 28% 14% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Boston University
(4‑2)

vs
Maine
(4‑2)

2 Games Remaining
1 Boston University Sweeps 2 Games 27% 16% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Maine Sweeps 2 Games 26% 16% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Vermont
(2‑2)

vs
New Hampshire
(3‑2‑1)

2 Games Remaining
1 Vermont Sweeps 2 Games 26% 15% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
New Hampshire Sweeps 2 Games 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Boston College
(1‑3‑1)

vs
NortheasternN. Eastern
(2‑1)

2 Games Remaining
1 Boston College Sweeps 2 Games 27% 15% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 2 Games 25% 15% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%


Providence Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Providence Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Boston College
(1‑3‑1)

vs
NortheasternN. Eastern
(2‑1)
1 Boston College Wins 27% 15% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
NortheasternN. Eastern Wins 25% 16% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Merrimack
(4‑1‑1)

vs
ConnecticutUConn
(3‑3)
1 Merrimack Wins 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
ConnecticutUConn Wins 27% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Vermont
(2‑2)

vs
New Hampshire
(3‑2‑1)
0 Vermont Wins 26% 15% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
New Hampshire Wins 26% 15% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Boston University
(4‑2)

vs
Maine
(4‑2)
0 Boston University Wins 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 26% 16% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Maine Wins 26% 16% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament