PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 25 5:30 pm

Horizon Basketball - Week 17 of 17

Fort Wayne What If?

The Fort Wayne Mastodons What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Fort Wayne plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fort Wayne What If?

Next Game - Wright St. (17‑12)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
7***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
8***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
9***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
10 11
Win Next Game 10 9 X X X X <1% 3% 23% 74% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 9 9 X X X X <1% 1% 10% 89% ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 9 10 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
7***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
8***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
9***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
10 11
Best Case Scenario X X X X 1% 23% 37% 39% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings X X X X <1% 1% 10% 89% ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   IUPUI beats Wis. Milwaukee
   Robert Morris beats Northern Kentucky
   Fort Wayne beats Wright St.
Worst Case Scenario
   Wis. Milwaukee beats IUPUI
   Northern Kentucky beats Robert Morris
   Wright St. beats Fort Wayne
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
7***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
8***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
9***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
10 11
2 of 2 100% 11 9 X X X X <1% 4% 30% 65% ^ ^ ^
1 of 2 50% 10 10 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^
0 of 2 0% 9 11 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye and second round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • ***denotes first round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament