The Most Important Games for the Northern Kentucky Norse are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Norse final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northern Kentucky Norse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northern Kentucky Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
10 | 11 | |||
| Northern Kentucky (4‑6) vs Detroit (5‑6) |
10 | Northern Kentucky Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Detroit Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Wright St. (7‑5) vs Youngstown St. (5‑5) |
1 | Wright St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Youngstown St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Green Bay (2‑9) vs Fort Wayne (7‑4) |
1 | Green Bay Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Fort Wayne Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Oakland (3‑5) vs Cleveland St. (5‑6) |
1 | Oakland Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Cleveland St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||
| Wis. Milwaukee (7‑4) vs IU Indy (5‑7) |
0 | Wis. Milwaukee Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||
| IU Indy Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||