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Sun Sep 14 6:00 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 5 of 40

Angers What If?

The Angers What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Angers What If?

Next Game - Lyon (3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 2 1 2 8 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 7%
Current Standings 1 1 2 5 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 11%
Lose Next Game 1 2 2 5 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 14%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 7%
Current Standings 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 11%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 14%
Best Case Scenario
   Angers beats Lyon
 Worst Case Scenario
   Lyon beats Angers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
30 of 30 100% 31 1 2 95 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 26 6 2 80 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 22 10 2 68 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 21 11 2 65 85% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 30 63% 20 12 2 62 63% 32% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 30 60% 19 13 2 59 29% 44% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 30 57% 18 14 2 56 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 30 53% 17 15 2 53 <1% 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 30 50% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 30% 26% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 23% 31% 22% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 27% 30% 17% 6% 1% <1%
12 of 30 40% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 33% 21% 8%
11 of 30 37% 12 20 2 38 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 34% 48%
10 of 30 33% 11 21 2 35 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 87%
5 of 30 17% 6 26 2 20 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 30 0% 1 31 2 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff