The Auxerre What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 6 | 15 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 31% | 38% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 15 | 7 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 23% | 57% | 7% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 16 | 7 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 66% | 10% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 32% | 36% | 3% |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 23% | 57% | 7% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 77% | 10% |
|
Best Case Scenario Strasbourg beats Nice Auxerre beats Le Havre |
Worst Case Scenario Nice beats Strasbourg Le Havre beats Auxerre |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 16% | 42% | 37% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 50% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 38% | 42% | 10% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 29% | 52% | 15% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 67% | 1% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 85% | 12% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 54% | 46% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 5 | 22 | 7 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 11% | 89% |