The Auxerre What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Auxerre beats Lens |
Worst Case Scenario Lens beats Auxerre |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 26 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 58% | 41% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 35% | 59% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 16% | 60% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 5% | 44% | 41% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 1% | 20% | 47% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | <1% | 5% | 29% | 41% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 38% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 37% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 38% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 31% | 39% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 34% | 38% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 37% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 35% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 32% | 35% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 32% | 36% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 33% | 39% | 16% | 1% | <1% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 36% | 41% | 11% | 1% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 44% | 35% | 7% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 47% | 32% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 28% | 68% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 6 | 26 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |