PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 2 5:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 9 of 44

Brest What If?

The Brest What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brest What If?

Next Game - Lorient (7‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 2 5 3 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 41%
Current Standings 1 5 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 48%
Lose Next Game 1 6 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 12% 51%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 41%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 48%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 12% 51%
Best Case Scenario
   Brest beats Lorient
Worst Case Scenario
   Lorient beats Brest
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
29 of 29 100% 30 5 3 93 22% 73% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 29 97% 29 6 3 90 12% 75% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 28 7 3 87 5% 67% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 27 8 3 84 2% 49% 40% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 26 9 3 81 <1% 29% 46% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 25 10 3 78 <1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 24 11 3 75 <1% 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 23 12 3 72 <1% 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 22 13 3 69 <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 29 69% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 29 66% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 29 62% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 36% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 23% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 25% 35% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 29 45% 14 21 3 45 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 26% 35% 21% 6% 1% <1%
12 of 29 41% 13 22 3 42 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 27% 36% 20% 5% 1%
11 of 29 38% 12 23 3 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
10 of 29 34% 11 24 3 36 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 32% 36% 20%
9 of 29 31% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 35% 50%
8 of 29 28% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 80%
5 of 29 17% 6 29 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 1 34 3 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers