PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 18 4:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 44

Clermont What If?

The Clermont What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Clermont What If?

Next Game - Ajaccio (1‑6‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 4 4 1 13 <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 5% 4% 6%
Current Standings 3 4 1 10 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 8%
Lose Next Game 3 5 1 10 <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 10%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 5% 4% 6%
Current Standings <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 8%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 10%
Best Case Scenario
   Clermont beats Ajaccio
Worst Case Scenario
   Ajaccio beats Clermont
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
30 of 30 100% 33 4 1 100 50% 50% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 30 97% 32 5 1 97 33% 66% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 30 93% 31 6 1 94 20% 77% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 30 7 1 91 10% 81% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 29 8 1 88 5% 75% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 28 9 1 85 2% 59% 34% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 27 10 1 82 1% 39% 44% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 26 11 1 79 <1% 19% 44% 29% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 25 12 1 76 <1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 24 13 1 73 <1% 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 23 14 1 70 <1% <1% 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 30 63% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 30 60% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 30 57% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 30 53% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 30 50% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 30 40% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 2% <1% <1%
11 of 30 37% 14 23 1 43 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% <1%
10 of 30 33% 13 24 1 40 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
9 of 30 30% 12 25 1 37 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 9%
8 of 30 27% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 36% 34%
7 of 30 23% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 69%
6 of 30 20% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 93%
5 of 30 17% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 30 0% 3 34 1 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers