The Le Havre What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 11% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 11% |
|
Best Case Scenario Le Havre beats Nantes |
Worst Case Scenario Nantes beats Le Havre |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 23 of 23 | 100% | 26 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 23 | 96% | 25 | 5 | 4 | 79 | 78% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 23 | 91% | 24 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 57% | 38% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 23 | 87% | 23 | 7 | 4 | 73 | 33% | 49% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 23 | 83% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 13% | 44% | 34% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 23 | 78% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 3% | 24% | 42% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 23 | 74% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | <1% | 7% | 29% | 38% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 23 | 70% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 23 | 65% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 35% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 23 | 61% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 23 | 57% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 36% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 23 | 52% | 15 | 15 | 4 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 36% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 23 | 48% | 14 | 16 | 4 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 36% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 23 | 43% | 13 | 17 | 4 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 23 | 39% | 12 | 18 | 4 | 40 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 37% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 23 | 35% | 11 | 19 | 4 | 37 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 36% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 7 of 23 | 30% | 10 | 20 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 37% | 30% | 10% | 1% |
| 6 of 23 | 26% | 9 | 21 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 38% | 31% | 10% |
| 5 of 23 | 22% | 8 | 22 | 4 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 42% | 34% |
| 4 of 23 | 17% | 7 | 23 | 4 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 27% | 69% |
| 3 of 23 | 13% | 6 | 24 | 4 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| 0 of 23 | 0% | 3 | 27 | 4 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |