The Lens What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| Win Next Game | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 5% | 53% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 4% | 49% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 2% | 43% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | 8% | 62% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 4% | 49% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 39% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Lens beats Nice Stade de Reims beats Stade Rennais Lens beats Paris SG |
Worst Case Scenario Nice beats Lens Stade Rennais beats Stade de Reims Paris SG beats Lens |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| 23 of 23 | 100% | 34 | 1 | 3 | 105 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 23 | 96% | 33 | 2 | 3 | 102 | 91% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 23 | 91% | 32 | 3 | 3 | 99 | 73% | 27% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 23 | 87% | 31 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 48% | 52% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 23 | 83% | 30 | 5 | 3 | 93 | 27% | 72% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 23 | 78% | 29 | 6 | 3 | 90 | 13% | 85% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 23 | 74% | 28 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 5% | 86% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 23 | 70% | 27 | 8 | 3 | 84 | 2% | 77% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 23 | 65% | 26 | 9 | 3 | 81 | <1% | 57% | 37% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 23 | 61% | 25 | 10 | 3 | 78 | <1% | 33% | 46% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 23 | 57% | 24 | 11 | 3 | 75 | <1% | 14% | 40% | 35% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 23 | 52% | 23 | 12 | 3 | 72 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 40% | 27% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 23 | 48% | 22 | 13 | 3 | 69 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 28% | 38% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 23 | 43% | 21 | 14 | 3 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 32% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 23 | 39% | 20 | 15 | 3 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 34% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 23 | 35% | 19 | 16 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 40% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 23 | 30% | 18 | 17 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 42% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 23 | 26% | 17 | 18 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 28% | 38% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 23 | 22% | 16 | 19 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 36% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 23 | 17% | 15 | 20 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 23 | 13% | 14 | 21 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 32% | 28% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 23 | 9% | 13 | 22 | 3 | 42 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 32% | 19% | 5% | 1% |
| 1 of 23 | 4% | 12 | 23 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 35% | 25% | 10% |
| 0 of 23 | 0% | 11 | 24 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 45% |