The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| Win Next Game | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41 | <1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38 | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 7 | 5 | 38 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 24% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 21% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Clermont beats Marseille Toulouse beats Stade Rennais Lille beats Strasbourg |
Worst Case Scenario Marseille beats Clermont Stade Rennais beats Toulouse Strasbourg beats Lille |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 27 | 6 | 5 | 86 | 24% | 75% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 26 | 7 | 5 | 83 | 9% | 81% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 25 | 8 | 5 | 80 | 2% | 63% | 31% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 24 | 9 | 5 | 77 | <1% | 30% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 23 | 10 | 5 | 74 | <1% | 7% | 32% | 40% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 22 | 11 | 5 | 71 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 40% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 21 | 12 | 5 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 40% | 38% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 20 | 13 | 5 | 65 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 48% | 28% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 19 | 14 | 5 | 62 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 26% | 45% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 18 | 15 | 5 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 30% | 40% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 17 | 16 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 27% | 40% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 16 | 17 | 5 | 53 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 39% | 25% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 15 | 18 | 5 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 40% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 14 | 19 | 5 | 47 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 42% | 30% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 13 | 20 | 5 | 44 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 47% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 12 | 21 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 43% | 24% | 5% | <1% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 11 | 22 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 40% | 25% | 6% |