PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 6 1:00 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 40

Lille What If?

The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lille What If?

Next Game - AS Monaco (6‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 5 2 1 16 2% 8% 11% 11% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 4 2 1 13 2% 6% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 4 3 1 13 1% 5% 7% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 9% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 1% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 2% 6% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Paris SG beats Nice
Worst Case Scenario
   Nice beats Paris SG
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
27 of 27 100% 31 2 1 94 94% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 27 96% 30 3 1 91 84% 16% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 27 93% 29 4 1 88 71% 29% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 27 89% 28 5 1 85 55% 44% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 27 85% 27 6 1 82 38% 57% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 27 81% 26 7 1 79 22% 62% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 27 78% 25 8 1 76 10% 55% 31% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 27 74% 24 9 1 73 4% 37% 44% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 27 70% 23 10 1 70 1% 18% 43% 30% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 27 67% 22 11 1 67 <1% 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 27 63% 21 12 1 64 <1% 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 27 59% 20 13 1 61 <1% <1% 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 27 56% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
14 of 27 52% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
13 of 27 48% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
12 of 27 44% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 27 41% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 27 37% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
9 of 27 33% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 27 30% 12 21 1 37 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1%
7 of 27 26% 11 22 1 34 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% <1%
6 of 27 22% 10 23 1 31 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
5 of 27 19% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 38% 29% 9%
4 of 27 15% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 23% 42% 31%
3 of 27 11% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 29% 65%
2 of 27 7% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 90%
0 of 27 0% 4 29 1 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff