PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Aug 29 5:30 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 3 of 40

Lille What If?

The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lille What If?

Next Game - Lorient (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 2 0 1 7 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Current Standings 1 0 1 4 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8%
Lose Next Game 1 1 1 4 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 10%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Current Standings 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 10%
Best Case Scenario
   Lille beats Lorient
Worst Case Scenario
   Lorient beats Lille
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
32 of 32 100% 33 0 1 100 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 31 2 1 94 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 26 7 1 79 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 22 11 1 67 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 21 12 1 64 82% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 20 13 1 61 56% 36% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 19 14 1 58 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 32 53% 18 15 1 55 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 32 50% 17 16 1 52 <1% 1% 4% 16% 29% 29% 16% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 22% 31% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 24% 30% 21% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 30% 29% 15% 4% <1%
12 of 32 38% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 31% 32% 18%
11 of 32 34% 12 21 1 37 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 66%
10 of 32 31% 11 22 1 34 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
5 of 32 16% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 32 0% 1 32 1 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff