The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| Win Next Game | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Lille beats Lens |
Worst Case Scenario Lens beats Lille |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| 29 of 29 | 100% | 33 | 4 | 1 | 100 | 61% | 39% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 28 of 29 | 97% | 32 | 5 | 1 | 97 | 42% | 58% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 29 | 93% | 31 | 6 | 1 | 94 | 26% | 71% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 29 | 90% | 30 | 7 | 1 | 91 | 14% | 76% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 29 | 86% | 29 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 7% | 70% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 29 | 83% | 28 | 9 | 1 | 85 | 2% | 54% | 37% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 29 | 79% | 27 | 10 | 1 | 82 | 1% | 33% | 46% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 29 | 76% | 26 | 11 | 1 | 79 | <1% | 15% | 40% | 33% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 29 | 72% | 25 | 12 | 1 | 76 | <1% | 5% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 29 | 69% | 24 | 13 | 1 | 73 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 29 | 66% | 23 | 14 | 1 | 70 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 34% | 32% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 29 | 62% | 22 | 15 | 1 | 67 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 29 | 59% | 21 | 16 | 1 | 64 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 37% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 | 17 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 37% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 29 | 52% | 19 | 18 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 35% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 29 | 48% | 18 | 19 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 32% | 32% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 29 | 45% | 17 | 20 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 29 | 41% | 16 | 21 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 35% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 29 | 38% | 15 | 22 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 35% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 29 | 34% | 14 | 23 | 1 | 43 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 of 29 | 31% | 13 | 24 | 1 | 40 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 36% | 25% | 8% | 1% |
| 8 of 29 | 28% | 12 | 25 | 1 | 37 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 24% | 37% | 24% | 8% |
| 7 of 29 | 24% | 11 | 26 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 37% | 32% |
| 6 of 29 | 21% | 10 | 27 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 67% |
| 5 of 29 | 17% | 9 | 28 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% |
| 0 of 29 | 0% | 4 | 33 | 1 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |