The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 17 | 7 | 8 | 59 | X | 42% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | X | 20% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56 | X | <1% | 12% | 21% | 24% | 24% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | 45% | 27% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 20% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 6% | 15% | 19% | 27% | 33% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Paris SG beats Strasbourg Lens beats Lyon Lille beats Marseille |
Worst Case Scenario Strasbourg beats Paris SG Lyon beats Lens Marseille beats Lille |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65 | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | X | 10% | 40% | 39% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 31% | 42% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 85% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |