PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 2 5:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 9 of 44

Lille What If?

The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lille What If?

Next Game - Lens (6‑0‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 5 4 1 16 <1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 4 4 1 13 <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 2% 3%
Lose Next Game 4 5 1 13 <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario <1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 2% 3%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3%
Best Case Scenario
   Lille beats Lens
Worst Case Scenario
   Lens beats Lille
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
29 of 29 100% 33 4 1 100 61% 39% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 29 97% 32 5 1 97 42% 58% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 31 6 1 94 26% 71% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 30 7 1 91 14% 76% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 29 8 1 88 7% 70% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 28 9 1 85 2% 54% 37% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 27 10 1 82 1% 33% 46% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 26 11 1 79 <1% 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 25 12 1 76 <1% 5% 25% 38% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 29 69% 24 13 1 73 <1% 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 29 66% 23 14 1 70 <1% <1% 3% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 29 62% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 29 59% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 29 55% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 37% 20% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 29 45% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 29 41% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 29 38% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 29 34% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1% <1%
9 of 29 31% 13 24 1 40 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
8 of 29 28% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 37% 24% 8%
7 of 29 24% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 37% 32%
6 of 29 21% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 67%
5 of 29 17% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 92%
0 of 29 0% 4 33 1 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers