The Lille What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 1% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Paris SG beats Nice |
Worst Case Scenario Nice beats Paris SG |
||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 27 of 27 | 100% | 31 | 2 | 1 | 94 | 94% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 27 | 96% | 30 | 3 | 1 | 91 | 84% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 27 | 93% | 29 | 4 | 1 | 88 | 71% | 29% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 27 | 89% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 55% | 44% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 27 | 85% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 38% | 57% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 27 | 81% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 22% | 62% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 27 | 78% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 10% | 55% | 31% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 27 | 74% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 4% | 37% | 44% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 27 | 70% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 1% | 18% | 43% | 30% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 27 | 67% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | <1% | 6% | 28% | 40% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 27 | 63% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 33% | 35% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 27 | 59% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 34% | 32% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 27 | 56% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 27 | 52% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 36% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 27 | 48% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 36% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 27 | 44% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 27 | 41% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 27 | 37% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 34% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 27 | 33% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 32% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 27 | 30% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 27 | 26% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 36% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 of 27 | 22% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 36% | 30% | 10% | 1% |
| 5 of 27 | 19% | 9 | 24 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 38% | 29% | 9% |
| 4 of 27 | 15% | 8 | 25 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 42% | 31% |
| 3 of 27 | 11% | 7 | 26 | 1 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 29% | 65% |
| 2 of 27 | 7% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 90% |
| 0 of 27 | 0% | 4 | 29 | 1 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |