The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 24% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 29 of 29 | 100% | 32 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 29 | 86% | 28 | 4 | 2 | 86 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 29 | 83% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | 80% | 20% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 29 | 79% | 26 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 64% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 29 | 76% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 44% | 44% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 29 | 72% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 26% | 47% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 29 | 69% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 12% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 29 | 66% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 4% | 25% | 39% | 24% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 29 | 62% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 1% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 29 | 59% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 34% | 31% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 29 | 55% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 29 | 52% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 35% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 29 | 48% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 13 of 29 | 45% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 34% | 25% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 29 | 41% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 34% | 26% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 29 | 38% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 33% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 29 | 34% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 33% | 29% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 29 | 31% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 32% | 31% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 29 | 28% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 31% | 33% | 15% | 4% | <1% |
| 7 of 29 | 24% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 34% | 16% | 3% |
| 6 of 29 | 21% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 35% | 16% |
| 5 of 29 | 17% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 39% | 44% |
| 4 of 29 | 14% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 74% |
| 3 of 29 | 10% | 6 | 26 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 93% |
| 0 of 29 | 0% | 3 | 29 | 2 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |