The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 28 of 28 | 100% | 31 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 28 | 89% | 28 | 4 | 2 | 86 | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 28 | 86% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 28 | 82% | 26 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 77% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 28 | 79% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 58% | 36% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 28 | 75% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 38% | 45% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 28 | 71% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 19% | 43% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 28 | 68% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 7% | 31% | 38% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 28 | 64% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 2% | 14% | 34% | 33% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 28 | 61% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 28 | 57% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 35% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 28 | 54% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 34% | 26% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 28 | 50% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 33% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 13 of 28 | 46% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 28 | 43% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 28 | 39% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 32% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 28 | 36% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 30% | 33% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 28 | 32% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 34% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 28 | 29% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 35% | 21% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 of 28 | 25% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 37% | 20% | 5% |
| 6 of 28 | 21% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 31% | 38% | 20% |
| 5 of 28 | 18% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 37% | 49% |
| 4 of 28 | 14% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 77% |
| 3 of 28 | 11% | 6 | 26 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| 0 of 28 | 0% | 3 | 29 | 2 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |