PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 18 4:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 44

Lyon What If?

The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lyon What If?

Next Game - Lens (5‑0‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 5 3 1 16 1% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1%
Current Standings 4 3 1 13 <1% 8% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 4 4 1 13 <1% 6% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario <1% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Current Standings <1% 8% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Strasbourg beats Stade Rennais
   Angers beats Marseille
   Lyon beats Lens
Worst Case Scenario
   Stade Rennais beats Strasbourg
   Marseille beats Angers
   Lens beats Lyon
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
30 of 30 100% 34 3 1 103 69% 31% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 30 97% 33 4 1 100 49% 51% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 30 93% 32 5 1 97 32% 68% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 31 6 1 94 19% 79% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 30 7 1 91 10% 81% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 29 8 1 88 4% 74% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 28 9 1 85 2% 58% 34% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 27 10 1 82 <1% 38% 45% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 26 11 1 79 <1% 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 25 12 1 76 <1% 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 24 13 1 73 <1% 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 30 63% 23 14 1 70 <1% <1% 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 30 60% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 30 57% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 30 53% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 30 50% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 30 40% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 30 37% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 30 33% 14 23 1 43 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1% <1%
9 of 30 30% 13 24 1 40 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
8 of 30 27% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 10%
7 of 30 23% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 35%
6 of 30 20% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 71%
5 of 30 17% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
0 of 30 0% 4 33 1 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers