The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 18 | 8 | 6 | 60 | <1% | 1% | 43% | 43% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17 | 8 | 6 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 17 | 9 | 6 | 57 | X | <1% | 6% | 18% | 40% | 30% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 73% | 23% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 4% | 15% | 36% | 38% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Nantes beats Marseille Le Havre beats Lille Lyon beats Stade Rennais |
Worst Case Scenario Marseille beats Nantes Lille beats Le Havre Stade Rennais beats Lyon |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | <1% | 4% | 84% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | X | <1% | 42% | 54% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | X | X | 2% | 24% | 58% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | X | X | X | <1% | 13% | 63% | 23% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |