The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participant |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
Win Next Game | 11 | 12 | 4 | 37 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 43% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 10 | 12 | 4 | 34 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 38% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 13 | 4 | 34 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 35% | 26% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participant |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
8 of 8 | 100% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | X | 1% | 14% | 37% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 8 | 88% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 39% | 29% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 8 | 75% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 30% | 41% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 8 | 63% | 15 | 15 | 4 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 23% | 50% | 24% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 8 | 50% | 14 | 16 | 4 | 46 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 26% | 66% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
3 of 8 | 38% | 13 | 17 | 4 | 43 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 59% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 8 | 25% | 12 | 18 | 4 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 15% | 42% | 34% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 8 | 13% | 11 | 19 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 29% | 41% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
0 of 8 | 0% | 10 | 20 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 41% | 35% | 10% | 1% |