The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| 30 of 30 | 100% | 32 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 30 | 83% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 30 | 67% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 30 | 63% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 30 | 60% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 70% | 27% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 30 | 57% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 38% | 43% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 30 | 53% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | 9% | 31% | 36% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 30 | 50% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | 4% | 17% | 31% | 29% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 14 of 30 | 47% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 30 | 43% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 29% | 28% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 30 | 40% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 30% | 26% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 30 | 37% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 29% | 30% | 16% | 4% |
| 10 of 30 | 33% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 35% | 41% |
| 9 of 30 | 30% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 83% |
| 5 of 30 | 17% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 30 | 0% | 2 | 30 | 2 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |