The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 15 | 5 | 3 | 48 | 1% | 8% | 48% | 39% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 14 | 5 | 3 | 45 | 1% | 5% | 41% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | <1% | 3% | 36% | 46% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 8% | 58% | 29% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 5% | 41% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 31% | 51% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Brest beats Marseille Lyon beats Strasbourg |
Worst Case Scenario Marseille beats Brest Strasbourg beats Lyon |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 75% | 24% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 35% | 53% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 9% | 48% | 43% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 1% | 23% | 73% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | <1% | 6% | 79% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | <1% | 1% | 60% | 39% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | <1% | <1% | 32% | 64% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | 11% | 68% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 42% | 42% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 39% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 32% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |