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Tue Sep 26 5:30 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 41

Lyon What If?

The Lyon What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lyon What If?

Next Game - Stade de Reims (3‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 1 4 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 14% 37%
Current Standings 0 4 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 14% 45%
Lose Next Game 0 5 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 10% 14% 46%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
28 of 28 100% 28 4 2 86 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 28 96% 27 5 2 83 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 26 6 2 80 77% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 25 7 2 77 60% 36% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 24 8 2 74 41% 46% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 23 9 2 71 23% 48% 25% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 22 10 2 68 10% 37% 38% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 21 11 2 65 3% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 20 12 2 62 <1% 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 19 13 2 59 <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 28 57% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 31% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 24% 34% 23% 7% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 12 20 2 38 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 11 21 2 35 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 36% 27% 9% 1%
10 of 28 36% 10 22 2 32 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 22% 38% 27% 8%
9 of 28 32% 9 23 2 29 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 40% 26%
8 of 28 29% 8 24 2 26 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 35% 55%
7 of 28 25% 7 25 2 23 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 18% 80%
6 of 28 21% 6 26 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
5 of 28 18% 5 27 2 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 28 0% 0 32 2 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers