The Most Important Games for Marseille are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marseille fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marseille Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Marseille (17‑9‑4) vs Brest (13‑12‑5) |
40 | Marseille Wins | X | 54% | 28% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brest Wins | X | 19% | 27% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Angers (8‑16‑6) vs Lille (15‑7‑8) |
9 | Angers Wins | X | 46% | 30% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lille Wins | X | 40% | 25% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris SG (24‑0‑6) vs Nice (14‑7‑9) |
8 | Paris SG Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nice Wins | X | 41% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Le Havre (8‑19‑3) vs AS Monaco (16‑8‑6) |
7 | Le Havre Wins | X | 56% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| AS Monaco Wins | X | 38% | 30% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stade Rennais (12‑16‑2) vs Lyon (15‑9‑6) |
7 | Stade Rennais Wins | X | 45% | 28% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lyon Wins | X | 42% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Saint-EtienneSt-Etienne (7‑17‑6) vs Strasbourg (14‑7‑9) |
5 | Saint-EtienneSt-Etienne Wins | X | 43% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auxerre (10‑12‑8) vs Lens (13‑11‑6) |
0 | Auxerre Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lens Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| MontpellierMontpellir (4‑23‑3) vs Stade de Reims (8‑14‑8) |
0 | MontpellierMontpellir Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stade de Reims Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nantes (7‑13‑10) vs Toulouse (9‑14‑7) |
0 | Nantes Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Toulouse Wins | X | 43% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||