The Metz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 51% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 7 | 2 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 60% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 8 | 2 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 63% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 51% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 60% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 63% |
|
Best Case Scenario Metz beats Nice |
Worst Case Scenario Nice beats Metz |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 23 of 23 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 69% | 29% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 23 | 96% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 44% | 45% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 23 | 91% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 21% | 47% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 23 | 87% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 7% | 32% | 41% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 23 | 83% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 1% | 14% | 36% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 23 | 78% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 36% | 31% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 23 | 74% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 35% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 23 | 70% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 35% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 23 | 65% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 34% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 14 of 23 | 61% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 33% | 31% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 23 | 57% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 33% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 23 | 52% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 29% | 35% | 19% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 23 | 48% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 36% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 23 | 43% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 of 23 | 39% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 36% | 30% | 9% | 1% |
| 8 of 23 | 35% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 31% | 11% |
| 7 of 23 | 30% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 40% | 39% |
| 6 of 23 | 26% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 23% | 74% |
| 5 of 23 | 22% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| 0 of 23 | 0% | 2 | 30 | 2 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |