The Montpellier What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
Win Next Game | 7 | 14 | 2 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 21% |
Current Standings | 6 | 14 | 2 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 31% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 15 | 2 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 41% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 20% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 31% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 48% |
Best Case Scenario Nice beats Ajaccio Lille beats Strasbourg Montpellier beats Brest |
Worst Case Scenario Ajaccio beats Nice Strasbourg beats Lille Brest beats Montpellier |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
4# UEFA Europa League Participate |
5## UEFA Europa League Qualifier |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
16 of 16 | 100% | 22 | 14 | 2 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 40% | 32% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 16 | 94% | 21 | 15 | 2 | 65 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 40% | 31% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 16 | 88% | 20 | 16 | 2 | 62 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 40% | 33% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
13 of 16 | 81% | 19 | 17 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 40% | 32% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 16 | 75% | 18 | 18 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 37% | 34% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 16 | 69% | 17 | 19 | 2 | 53 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 36% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 16 | 63% | 16 | 20 | 2 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 39% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 16 | 56% | 15 | 21 | 2 | 47 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 30% | 43% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 16 | 50% | 14 | 22 | 2 | 44 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 35% | 45% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
7 of 16 | 44% | 13 | 23 | 2 | 41 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 46% | 35% | 7% | 1% |
6 of 16 | 38% | 12 | 24 | 2 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 45% | 28% | 6% |
5 of 16 | 31% | 11 | 25 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 45% | 26% |
4 of 16 | 25% | 10 | 26 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 29% | 66% |
3 of 16 | 19% | 9 | 27 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
2 of 16 | 13% | 8 | 28 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 16 | 6% | 7 | 29 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 16 | 0% | 6 | 30 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |