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Sun Oct 6 11:00 am

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 40

Montpellier What If?

The Montpellier What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Montpellier What If?

Next Game - Stade de Reims (3‑1‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 2 4 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 34%
Current Standings 1 4 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 43%
Lose Next Game 1 5 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 43%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 34%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 43%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 43%
Best Case Scenario
   Montpellier beats Stade de Reims
Worst Case Scenario
   Stade de Reims beats Montpellier
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
28 of 28 100% 29 4 1 88 74% 26% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 28 96% 28 5 1 85 59% 40% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 27 6 1 82 42% 54% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 26 7 1 79 26% 62% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 25 8 1 76 14% 57% 26% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 24 9 1 73 6% 42% 41% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 23 10 1 70 2% 22% 44% 27% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 22 11 1 67 <1% 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 21 12 1 64 <1% 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 20 13 1 61 <1% <1% 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 28 57% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 28 54% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 12 21 1 37 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% <1% <1%
10 of 28 36% 11 22 1 34 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% <1%
9 of 28 32% 10 23 1 31 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
8 of 28 29% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 36% 34% 13%
7 of 28 25% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 19% 40% 38%
6 of 28 21% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 26% 70%
5 of 28 18% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 91%
0 of 28 0% 1 32 1 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff