PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 2 5:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 9 of 44

Nice What If?

The Nice What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nice What If?

Next Game - Troyes (3‑4‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 3 5 2 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 13% 11% 9% 14%
Current Standings 2 5 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 13% 12% 10% 19%
Lose Next Game 2 6 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 10% 12% 13% 13% 11% 22%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 13% 11% 9% 14%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 13% 12% 10% 19%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 10% 12% 13% 13% 11% 22%
Best Case Scenario
   Nice beats Troyes
Worst Case Scenario
   Troyes beats Nice
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
29 of 29 100% 31 5 2 95 32% 67% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 29 97% 30 6 2 92 19% 76% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 29 7 2 89 9% 76% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 28 8 2 86 4% 64% 29% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 27 9 2 83 1% 45% 42% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 26 10 2 80 <1% 24% 45% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 25 11 2 77 <1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 24 12 2 74 <1% 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 23 13 2 71 <1% <1% 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 29 69% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 29 66% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 36% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 29 62% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 29 45% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 29 41% 14 22 2 44 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1% <1%
11 of 29 38% 13 23 2 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
10 of 29 34% 12 24 2 38 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
9 of 29 31% 11 25 2 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 30% 36% 23%
8 of 29 28% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 32% 54%
7 of 29 24% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 83%
5 of 29 17% 7 29 2 23 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 2 34 2 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers