PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Dec 14 5:00 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 18 of 40

Saint-Etienne What If?

The Saint-Etienne What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saint-Etienne What If?

Next Game - Stade de Reims (5‑5‑5)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 5 10 1 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 27% 49%
Current Standings 4 10 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 22% 62%
Lose Next Game 4 11 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 65%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 24% 59%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 9% 22% 62%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 18% 66%
Best Case Scenario
   Strasbourg beats Le Havre
Worst Case Scenario
   Le Havre beats Strasbourg
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
19 of 19 100% 23 10 1 70 9% 50% 34% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 19 95% 22 11 1 67 2% 25% 45% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 19 89% 21 12 1 64 <1% 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 19 84% 20 13 1 61 <1% 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 19 79% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 19 74% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
13 of 19 68% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 28% 40% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
12 of 19 63% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 19 58% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 19 53% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
9 of 19 47% 13 20 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% <1% <1%
8 of 19 42% 12 21 1 37 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2% <1%
7 of 19 37% 11 22 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 34% 39% 14% 1%
6 of 19 32% 10 23 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 39% 41% 9%
5 of 19 26% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15% 52% 31%
4 of 19 21% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 33% 64%
3 of 19 16% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 12% 88%
2 of 19 11% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
1 of 19 5% 5 28 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 19 0% 4 29 1 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff