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Sun Apr 27 5:00 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 38 of 40

Saint-Etienne What If?

The Saint-Etienne What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Saint-Etienne What If?

Next Game - AS Monaco (16‑8‑7)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 8 18 6 30 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 23% 50% 23%
Current Standings 7 18 6 27 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 28% 64%
Lose Next Game 7 19 6 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 22% 74%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 4% 33% 48% 14%
Current Standings X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 28% 64%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
Best Case Scenario
   Saint-Etienne beats AS Monaco
   Nantes beats Angers
   Auxerre beats Le Havre
Worst Case Scenario
   AS Monaco beats Saint-Etienne
   Angers beats Nantes
   Le Havre beats Auxerre
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
3 of 3 100% 10 18 6 36 X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 17% 64% 17% 1% <1%
2 of 3 67% 9 19 6 33 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 54% 43% 3%
1 of 3 33% 8 20 6 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 58% 42%
0 of 3 0% 7 21 6 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff