PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Oct 4 5:15 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 40

Strasbourg What If?

The Strasbourg What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Strasbourg What If?

Next Game - Lens (2‑0‑4)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 3 1 3 12 1% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Current Standings 2 1 3 9 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Lose Next Game 2 2 3 9 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 1% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Current Standings 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 2% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2%
Best Case Scenario
   Strasbourg beats Lens
Worst Case Scenario
   Lens beats Strasbourg
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
28 of 28 100% 30 1 3 93 98% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 28 96% 29 2 3 90 90% 10% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 28 3 3 87 76% 23% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 27 4 3 84 59% 39% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 26 5 3 81 40% 53% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 25 6 3 78 23% 58% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 24 7 3 75 11% 49% 34% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 23 8 3 72 4% 32% 43% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 22 9 3 69 1% 14% 40% 34% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 21 10 3 66 <1% 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 20 11 3 63 <1% 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 19 12 3 60 <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
16 of 28 57% 18 13 3 57 <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
15 of 28 54% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
14 of 28 50% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 28 36% 12 19 3 39 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1%
9 of 28 32% 11 20 3 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 5% 1% <1%
8 of 28 29% 10 21 3 33 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% <1%
7 of 28 25% 9 22 3 30 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
6 of 28 21% 8 23 3 27 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
5 of 28 18% 7 24 3 24 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15% 42% 42%
4 of 28 14% 6 25 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 24% 73%
3 of 28 11% 5 26 3 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 93%
0 of 28 0% 2 29 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff