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Sun Aug 24 6:30 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 3 of 40

Strasbourg What If?

The Strasbourg What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Strasbourg What If?

Next Game - AS Monaco (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 3 0 0 9 15% 11% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Current Standings 2 0 0 6 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 6 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 15% 11% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Current Standings 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5%
Worst Case Scenario 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6%
Best Case Scenario
   Strasbourg beats AS Monaco
 Worst Case Scenario
   AS Monaco beats Strasbourg
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
32 of 32 100% 34 0 0 102 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 32 2 0 96 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 27 7 0 81 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 22 12 0 66 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 21 13 0 63 75% 23% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 20 14 0 60 45% 41% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 32 53% 19 15 0 57 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 32 50% 18 16 0 54 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 32 47% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 30% 27% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 22% 31% 24% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 25% 30% 21% 8% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 31% 27% 12% 3%
11 of 32 34% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 36% 34%
10 of 32 31% 12 22 0 36 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 79%
5 of 32 16% 7 27 0 21 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 32 0% 2 32 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff