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Sat Sep 19 4:15 am

Ligue 1 - Week 5 of 41

Strasbourg What If?

The Strasbourg What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Strasbourg What If?

Next Game - Paris FC (2‑0‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 3 1 1 10 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 2 1 1 7 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Lose Next Game 2 2 1 7 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
30 of 30 100% 32 1 1 97 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 29 4 1 88 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 28 5 1 85 82% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 27 6 1 82 66% 31% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 26 7 1 79 46% 43% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 25 8 1 76 28% 46% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 24 9 1 73 13% 38% 35% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 23 10 1 70 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 22 11 1 67 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 30 63% 21 12 1 64 <1% 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 30 60% 20 13 1 61 <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 30 57% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 30 53% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 30 50% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 33% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 30 40% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 30 37% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 30 33% 12 21 1 37 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% <1% <1%
9 of 30 30% 11 22 1 34 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% <1%
8 of 30 27% 10 23 1 31 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
7 of 30 23% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
6 of 30 20% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 43% 29%
5 of 30 17% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 33% 59%
4 of 30 13% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 15% 83%
0 of 30 0% 2 31 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff