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Sun Oct 11 4:00 am

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 41

Strasbourg What If?

The Strasbourg What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Strasbourg What If?

Next Game - Nice (1‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 3 2 1 10 6% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4%
Current Standings 2 2 1 7 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5%
Lose Next Game 2 3 1 7 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 6%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
29 of 29 100% 31 2 1 94 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 28 5 1 85 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 27 6 1 82 84% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 26 7 1 79 68% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 25 8 1 76 48% 42% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 24 9 1 73 27% 46% 23% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 23 10 1 70 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 29 69% 22 11 1 67 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 29 66% 21 12 1 64 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 29 62% 20 13 1 61 <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 29 59% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 29 55% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 29 52% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 29 45% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 29 41% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 29 38% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 35% 25% 8% 1% <1% <1%
10 of 29 34% 12 21 1 37 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1% <1%
9 of 29 31% 11 22 1 34 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
8 of 29 28% 10 23 1 31 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 38% 27% 8%
7 of 29 24% 9 24 1 28 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 41% 27%
6 of 29 21% 8 25 1 25 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 34% 57%
5 of 29 17% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 16% 82%
0 of 29 0% 2 31 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff