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Sun Sep 18 4:45 pm

Ligue 1 - Week 8 of 44

Strasbourg What If?

The Strasbourg What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Strasbourg What If?

Next Game - Stade Rennais (3‑2‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 1 3 5 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 13% 54%
Current Standings 0 3 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 63%
Lose Next Game 0 4 5 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 65%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 13% 54%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 11% 63%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 65%
Best Case Scenario
   Strasbourg beats Stade Rennais
 Worst Case Scenario
   Stade Rennais beats Strasbourg
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
 4#
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 5##
UEFA Europa League
Qualifier
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
30 of 30 100% 30 3 5 95 37% 62% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 30 97% 29 4 5 92 22% 75% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 30 93% 28 5 5 89 12% 78% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 27 6 5 86 5% 72% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 26 7 5 83 2% 54% 37% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 25 8 5 80 <1% 34% 45% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 24 9 5 77 <1% 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 23 10 5 74 <1% 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 22 11 5 71 <1% 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 21 12 5 68 <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 20 13 5 65 <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 30 63% 19 14 5 62 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 30 60% 18 15 5 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 30 57% 17 16 5 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 30 53% 16 17 5 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 30 50% 15 18 5 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 14 19 5 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 13 20 5 44 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1%
12 of 30 40% 12 21 5 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
11 of 30 37% 11 22 5 38 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 36% 26% 10%
10 of 30 33% 10 23 5 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 37% 33%
9 of 30 30% 9 24 5 32 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 67%
8 of 30 27% 8 25 5 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
5 of 30 17% 5 28 5 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 30 0% 0 33 5 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League Qualifiers