The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Toulouse (10‑12‑8) vs Strasbourg (13‑10‑7) |
0 | Toulouse Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 39% | 35% | 21% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 10% | 24% | 37% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nice (7‑15‑9) vs Lens (20‑7‑3) |
0 | Nice Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lens Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris SG (21‑5‑3) vs Lorient (10‑10‑11) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 20% | 26% | 32% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lorient Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 35% | 37% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Le Havre (6‑12‑13) vs Lille (17‑8‑6) |
0 | Le Havre Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lille Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Angers (9‑15‑7) vs Auxerre (5‑16‑10) |
0 | Angers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 31% | 19% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auxerre Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 34% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris FC (9‑11‑11) vs Brest (10‑12‑8) |
0 | Paris FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 20% | 28% | 24% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brest Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 16% | 23% | 47% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nantes (4‑19‑8) vs Marseille (16‑10‑5) |
0 | Nantes Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marseille Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Metz (3‑21‑7) vs AS Monaco (15‑10‑6) |
0 | Metz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| AS Monaco Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lyon (17‑8‑6) vs Stade Rennais (16‑7‑8) |
0 | Lyon Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||