The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Toulouse (9‑10‑7) vs Lorient (9‑7‑10) |
1 | Toulouse Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 21% | 28% | 27% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lorient Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 39% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marseille (15‑7‑4) vs Lille (13‑8‑5) |
0 | Marseille Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lille Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Metz (3‑19‑4) vs Stade Rennais (12‑7‑7) |
0 | Metz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lyon (14‑7‑5) vs AS Monaco (13‑9‑4) |
0 | Lyon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| AS Monaco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nantes (4‑16‑5) vs Strasbourg (10‑9‑7) |
0 | Nantes Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 23% | 31% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nice (7‑13‑6) vs Paris SG (18‑4‑3) |
0 | Nice Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 23% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Le Havre (6‑11‑9) vs Paris FC (6‑10‑10) |
0 | Le Havre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 31% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brest (10‑10‑6) vs Auxerre (4‑15‑7) |
0 | Brest Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 36% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auxerre Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 18% | 24% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angers (9‑12‑5) vs Lens (18‑6‑2) |
0 | Angers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 28% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lens Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||