The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Toulouse (0‑1‑1) vs Lille (1‑0‑1) |
34 | Toulouse Wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Lille Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 21% | ||
| Strasbourg (1‑1) vs Troyes (1‑0‑1) |
1 | Strasbourg Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Troyes Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Auxerre (0‑2) vs Lyon (1‑0‑1) |
1 | Auxerre Wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Lyon Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Lorient (0‑1‑1) vs Lens (1‑1) |
1 | Lorient Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Lens Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Stade Rennais (1‑0‑1) vs Angers (1‑1) |
1 | Stade Rennais Wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Angers Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| AS Monaco (2‑0) vs Paris SG (0‑0‑2) |
1 | AS Monaco Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Brest (0‑0‑2) vs Le Havre (0‑1‑1) |
1 | Brest Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Le Havre Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Le Mans (0‑1‑1) vs Nice (0‑1‑1) |
0 | Le Mans Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Nice Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Marseille (1‑1) vs Paris FC (1‑0‑1) |
0 | Marseille Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Paris FC Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||