The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Toulouse (2‑3‑4) vs Strasbourg (3‑5‑1) |
10 | Toulouse Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Stade Rennais (5‑3‑1) vs Lille (5‑1‑3) |
1 | Stade Rennais Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Lille Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Marseille (5‑4) vs Lens (4‑4‑1) |
0 | Marseille Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Lens Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Nice (4‑3‑2) vs Angers (2‑5‑2) |
0 | Nice Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Angers Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Auxerre (3‑5‑1) vs Paris FC (5‑2‑2) |
0 | Auxerre Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Paris FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Le Havre (0‑7‑2) vs Lorient (3‑3‑3) |
0 | Le Havre Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Lorient Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Brest (3‑3‑3) vs Lyon (5‑2‑2) |
0 | Brest Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Lyon Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| AS Monaco (4‑2‑3) vs Le Mans (1‑4‑4) |
0 | AS Monaco Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Le Mans Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Paris SG (6‑1‑2) vs Troyes (2‑5‑2) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Troyes Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||